Recent polls conducted in early April 2026, including those from CAM, Market Links, and Sova Harris, position Progressive Bulgaria at 32-37% support for a projected first place with 90-109 seats in the 240-member National Assembly, GERB-SDS at 19-21% for second, and PP-DB at 11-13% ahead of DPS's 8-11% for third. This order, reinforced by a Bloomberg-reported poll on April 16 showing Progressive Bulgaria extending its lead, drives trader consensus favoring PP-DB with 74% implied probability for third place ahead of the April 19 snap parliamentary election—Bulgaria's eighth since 2021 following the December 2025 government resignation. DPS holds strength among ethnic Turkish voters, while Vazrazhdane trails at 5-8% amid declining trends, but low expected turnout around 51% adds uncertainty to final margins. Ongoing vote-buying crackdowns, with recent arrests, underscore procedural risks without altering polling dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПарламентские выборы в Болгарии: 3-е место
Парламентские выборы в Болгарии: 3-е место
ПП–ДБ 76%
ДПС 16%
Возраждане 3.8%
ГЕРБ-СДС 3.3%
$80,747 Объем
$80,747 Объем
19 апр. 2026 г.
ПП–ДБ
76%
ДПС
16%
Возраждане
4%
ГЕРБ-СДС
3%
MECh
<1%
БСП
<1%
ИТН
<1%
ПБ
<1%
АПС
<1%
Величие
<1%
ПП–ДБ 76%
ДПС 16%
Возраждане 3.8%
ГЕРБ-СДС 3.3%
$80,747 Объем
$80,747 Объем
19 апр. 2026 г.
ПП–ДБ
$23,895 Объем
76%
ДПС
$12,803 Объем
16%
Возраждане
$3,078 Объем
4%
ГЕРБ-СДС
$10,118 Объем
3%
MECh
$3,263 Объем
<1%
БСП
$20,073 Объем
<1%
ИТН
$2,065 Объем
<1%
ПБ
$1,575 Объем
<1%
АПС
$2,076 Объем
<1%
Величие
$1,802 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls conducted in early April 2026, including those from CAM, Market Links, and Sova Harris, position Progressive Bulgaria at 32-37% support for a projected first place with 90-109 seats in the 240-member National Assembly, GERB-SDS at 19-21% for second, and PP-DB at 11-13% ahead of DPS's 8-11% for third. This order, reinforced by a Bloomberg-reported poll on April 16 showing Progressive Bulgaria extending its lead, drives trader consensus favoring PP-DB with 74% implied probability for third place ahead of the April 19 snap parliamentary election—Bulgaria's eighth since 2021 following the December 2025 government resignation. DPS holds strength among ethnic Turkish voters, while Vazrazhdane trails at 5-8% amid declining trends, but low expected turnout around 51% adds uncertainty to final margins. Ongoing vote-buying crackdowns, with recent arrests, underscore procedural risks without altering polling dynamics.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Открытие рынка: Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
Объем
$80,747Дата окончания
19 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls conducted in early April 2026, including those from CAM, Market Links, and Sova Harris, position Progressive Bulgaria at 32-37% support for a projected first place with 90-109 seats in the 240-member National Assembly, GERB-SDS at 19-21% for second, and PP-DB at 11-13% ahead of DPS's 8-11% for third. This order, reinforced by a Bloomberg-reported poll on April 16 showing Progressive Bulgaria extending its lead, drives trader consensus favoring PP-DB with 74% implied probability for third place ahead of the April 19 snap parliamentary election—Bulgaria's eighth since 2021 following the December 2025 government resignation. DPS holds strength among ethnic Turkish voters, while Vazrazhdane trails at 5-8% amid declining trends, but low expected turnout around 51% adds uncertainty to final margins. Ongoing vote-buying crackdowns, with recent arrests, underscore procedural risks without altering polling dynamics.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Объем
$80,747Дата окончания
19 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls conducted in early April 2026, including those from CAM, Market Links, and Sova Harris, position Progressive Bulgaria at 32-37% support for a projected first place with 90-109 seats in the 240-member National Assembly, GERB-SDS at 19-21% for second, and PP-DB at 11-13% ahead of DPS's 8-11% for third. This order, reinforced by a Bloomberg-reported poll on April 16 showing Progressive Bulgaria extending its lead, drives trader consensus favoring PP-DB with 74% implied probability for third place ahead of the April 19 snap parliamentary election—Bulgaria's eighth since 2021 following the December 2025 government resignation. DPS holds strength among ethnic Turkish voters, while Vazrazhdane trails at 5-8% amid declining trends, but low expected turnout around 51% adds uncertainty to final margins. Ongoing vote-buying crackdowns, with recent arrests, underscore procedural risks without altering polling dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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