Recent polls ahead of Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, including CAM (April 14) and Sova Harris (April 6), consistently place Progressive Bulgaria first at 32-34%, GERB-SDS second at 19%, and PP-DB third at 11-12%, ahead of DPS (10-11%) and Vazrazhdane (7-8%). This positioning reflects trader consensus on PP-DB securing third-highest vote share under proportional representation, bolstered by the alliance's steady mid-teens support amid Progressive Bulgaria's surge led by ex-President Rumen Radev. DPS remains a close challenger due to narrow polling gaps, while Vazrazhdane trails; final turnout and any late shifts could influence the tight race for third as coalition negotiations loom post-election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПарламентские выборы в Болгарии: 3-е место
Парламентские выборы в Болгарии: 3-е место
ПП–ДБ 73%
ДПС 19%
Возраждане 6.3%
ГЕРБ-СДС 1.3%
$79,540 Объем
$79,540 Объем

ПП–ДБ
73%

ДПС
19%

Возраждане
6%

ГЕРБ-СДС
1%

MECh
<1%

БСП
<1%

ИТН
<1%

ПБ
<1%

АПС
<1%

Величие
<1%
ПП–ДБ 73%
ДПС 19%
Возраждане 6.3%
ГЕРБ-СДС 1.3%
$79,540 Объем
$79,540 Объем

ПП–ДБ
73%

ДПС
19%

Возраждане
6%

ГЕРБ-СДС
1%

MECh
<1%

БСП
<1%

ИТН
<1%

ПБ
<1%

АПС
<1%

Величие
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Открытие рынка: Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, including CAM (April 14) and Sova Harris (April 6), consistently place Progressive Bulgaria first at 32-34%, GERB-SDS second at 19%, and PP-DB third at 11-12%, ahead of DPS (10-11%) and Vazrazhdane (7-8%). This positioning reflects trader consensus on PP-DB securing third-highest vote share under proportional representation, bolstered by the alliance's steady mid-teens support amid Progressive Bulgaria's surge led by ex-President Rumen Radev. DPS remains a close challenger due to narrow polling gaps, while Vazrazhdane trails; final turnout and any late shifts could influence the tight race for third as coalition negotiations loom post-election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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