Recent US-Iran ceasefire progress and expectations of reopening the Strait of Hormuz have driven the sharp decline in WTI crude prices to the low $80s as of June 15, 2026, establishing the $77–$84 settlement range as the market’s leading outcome at 46% implied probability. Heightened supply disruption fears earlier in the month from regional conflict and reduced Middle East output had previously supported elevated levels near $90–$100, but de-escalation signals triggered rapid selling and inventory pressure relief. With the June contract nearing settlement, trader positioning reflects current spot levels and limited remaining volatility catalysts before month-end. Forward curves and EIA inventory data continue to inform the secondary $70–$77 bucket at 26.7%, while upside risks above $84 remain priced at 16.5% pending final diplomatic outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНа что будет рассчитана цена на сырую нефть (CL) в июне?
На что будет рассчитана цена на сырую нефть (CL) в июне?
$77-$84 46%
$70–$77 30.8%
>$84 17%
$63-$70 4.3%
$235,901 Объем
$235,901 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
< $42
<1%
$42-$49
<1%
$49-$56
1%
$56–$63
2%
$63-$70
4%
$70–$77
27%
$77-$84
46%
>$84
17%
$77-$84 46%
$70–$77 30.8%
>$84 17%
$63-$70 4.3%
$235,901 Объем
$235,901 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
< $42
$22,339 Объем
<1%
$42-$49
$10,973 Объем
<1%
$49-$56
$13,349 Объем
1%
$56–$63
$16,498 Объем
2%
$63-$70
$29,947 Объем
4%
$70–$77
$21,701 Объем
27%
$77-$84
$20,812 Объем
46%
>$84
$100,283 Объем
17%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Recent US-Iran ceasefire progress and expectations of reopening the Strait of Hormuz have driven the sharp decline in WTI crude prices to the low $80s as of June 15, 2026, establishing the $77–$84 settlement range as the market’s leading outcome at 46% implied probability. Heightened supply disruption fears earlier in the month from regional conflict and reduced Middle East output had previously supported elevated levels near $90–$100, but de-escalation signals triggered rapid selling and inventory pressure relief. With the June contract nearing settlement, trader positioning reflects current spot levels and limited remaining volatility catalysts before month-end. Forward curves and EIA inventory data continue to inform the secondary $70–$77 bucket at 26.7%, while upside risks above $84 remain priced at 16.5% pending final diplomatic outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Открытие рынка: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Объем
$235,901Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Recent US-Iran ceasefire progress and expectations of reopening the Strait of Hormuz have driven the sharp decline in WTI crude prices to the low $80s as of June 15, 2026, establishing the $77–$84 settlement range as the market’s leading outcome at 46% implied probability. Heightened supply disruption fears earlier in the month from regional conflict and reduced Middle East output had previously supported elevated levels near $90–$100, but de-escalation signals triggered rapid selling and inventory pressure relief. With the June contract nearing settlement, trader positioning reflects current spot levels and limited remaining volatility catalysts before month-end. Forward curves and EIA inventory data continue to inform the secondary $70–$77 bucket at 26.7%, while upside risks above $84 remain priced at 16.5% pending final diplomatic outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Объем
$235,901Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent US-Iran ceasefire progress and expectations of reopening the Strait of Hormuz have driven the sharp decline in WTI crude prices to the low $80s as of June 15, 2026, establishing the $77–$84 settlement range as the market’s leading outcome at 46% implied probability. Heightened supply disruption fears earlier in the month from regional conflict and reduced Middle East output had previously supported elevated levels near $90–$100, but de-escalation signals triggered rapid selling and inventory pressure relief. With the June contract nearing settlement, trader positioning reflects current spot levels and limited remaining volatility catalysts before month-end. Forward curves and EIA inventory data continue to inform the secondary $70–$77 bucket at 26.7%, while upside risks above $84 remain priced at 16.5% pending final diplomatic outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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