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Клод 4.7 выпущен на...?

Market icon

Клод 4.7 выпущен на...?

16 апреля или ранее 81%

17 апреля 9.3%

Не выпущен до 30 апреля 1.4%

21 апреля 1.0%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$100,521 Объем

16 апреля или ранее 81%

17 апреля 9.3%

Не выпущен до 30 апреля 1.4%

21 апреля 1.0%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$100,521 Объем

16 апреля или ранее

$46,980 Объем

81%

17 апреля

$7,743 Объем

9%

18 апреля

$5,344 Объем

<1%

19 апреля

$4,288 Объем

<1%

20 апреля

$4,392 Объем

1%

21 апреля

$3,372 Объем

1%

22 апреля

$2,790 Объем

<1%

23 апреля

$2,522 Объем

<1%

24 апреля

$2,781 Объем

<1%

25 апреля

$3,122 Объем

<1%

26 апреля

$3,011 Объем

<1%

27 апреля

$2,997 Объем

<1%

28 апреля

$2,072 Объем

<1%

29 апреля

$1,922 Объем

<1%

30 апреля

$1,571 Объем

<1%

Не выпущен до 30 апреля

$5,991 Объем

1%

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public. Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Recent reporting from The Information indicates Anthropic is preparing to launch Claude Opus 4.7, its next flagship large language model, alongside a new AI-powered design tool for websites and presentations, potentially as soon as this week—driving trader consensus toward an 88% implied probability for release on or prior to April 16. Codebase leaks referencing Claude 4.7, combined with a recent Claude Code desktop app redesign featuring side-by-side sessions and voice commands, signal imminent deployment amid intensifying competition with OpenAI's GPT series and Google's Gemini. While no official announcement has materialized, these developments reflect Anthropic's accelerated release cadence post-Opus 4.6; any last-minute delays could pivot odds to April 17 at 9%, underscoring prediction markets' sensitivity to verified catalysts.

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.

Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)

Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.

Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$100,521
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public. Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public. Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Recent reporting from The Information indicates Anthropic is preparing to launch Claude Opus 4.7, its next flagship large language model, alongside a new AI-powered design tool for websites and presentations, potentially as soon as this week—driving trader consensus toward an 88% implied probability for release on or prior to April 16. Codebase leaks referencing Claude 4.7, combined with a recent Claude Code desktop app redesign featuring side-by-side sessions and voice commands, signal imminent deployment amid intensifying competition with OpenAI's GPT series and Google's Gemini. While no official announcement has materialized, these developments reflect Anthropic's accelerated release cadence post-Opus 4.6; any last-minute delays could pivot odds to April 17 at 9%, underscoring prediction markets' sensitivity to verified catalysts.

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.

Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)

Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.

Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$100,521
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public. Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Клод 4.7 выпущен на...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 16 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «16 апреля или ранее» с 81%, за ним следует «17 апреля» с 9%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 81¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 81%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Клод 4.7 выпущен на...?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $100.5K с момента запуска рынка Apr 15, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Клод 4.7 выпущен на...?», просмотри 16 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Клод 4.7 выпущен на...?» — «16 апреля или ранее» с 81%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 81%. Следующий ближайший исход — «17 апреля» с 9%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Клод 4.7 выпущен на...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.