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Технологии·Big Tech

Top AI model on April 17? (Style Control On)

Market icon
Технологии·Big Tech

Top AI model on April 17? (Style Control On)

апр. 10

апр. 17

апр. 10

апр. 17

claude-opus-4-5-20251101-thinking-32k 98%

grok-4.20-beta-0309-reasoning 62%

claude-opus-4-6 49%

gemini-3.1-pro-preview 48%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

claude-opus-4-5-20251101-thinking-32k 98%

grok-4.20-beta-0309-reasoning 62%

claude-opus-4-6 49%

gemini-3.1-pro-preview 48%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

claude-opus-4-5-20251101-thinking-32k

$33 Объем

98%

grok-4.20-beta-0309-reasoning

$36 Объем

62%

claude-opus-4-6

$0 Объем

49%

gemini-3.1-pro-preview

$5 Объем

48%

gpt-5.4-high

$0 Объем

48%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$1 Объем

48%

kimi-k2.5-thinking

$36 Объем

48%

grok-4.20-beta1

$28 Объем

35%

gemini-3-pro

$28 Объем

33%

gpt-5.2-chat-latest-20260210

$36 Объем

8%

gemini-2.5-pro

$36 Объем

4%

gemini-3-flash

$36 Объем

4%

qwen3.5-max-preview

$36 Объем

4%

dola-seed-2.0-preview

$36 Объем

4%

This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin race for the top spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard (Style Control On) by April 17, with Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 at 50% implied probability edging out OpenAI's GPT-5.4-high and others at 48.5%. Recent LMSYS updates and third-party benchmarks like GPQA-D and PinchBench show Claude leading in agentic reasoning and coding (Elo ~1504), but Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview and xAI's Grok-4.20-beta1 have closed the gap via efficiency gains and multimodal prowess. Key differentiators include long-context handling, tool-use reliability, and cost-performance ratios. With resolution imminent, fresh evaluations or surprise releases could swing the leaderboard.

This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Объем
$350
Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 9, 2026, 5:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin race for the top spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard (Style Control On) by April 17, with Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 at 50% implied probability edging out OpenAI's GPT-5.4-high and others at 48.5%. Recent LMSYS updates and third-party benchmarks like GPQA-D and PinchBench show Claude leading in agentic reasoning and coding (Elo ~1504), but Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview and xAI's Grok-4.20-beta1 have closed the gap via efficiency gains and multimodal prowess. Key differentiators include long-context handling, tool-use reliability, and cost-performance ratios. With resolution imminent, fresh evaluations or surprise releases could swing the leaderboard.

This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Объем
$350
Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 9, 2026, 5:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Top AI model on April 17? (Style Control On)» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 14 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «claude-opus-4-5-20251101-thinking-32k» с 49%, за ним следует «claude-opus-4-6» с 49%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 49¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 49%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Top AI model on April 17? (Style Control On)» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 9, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Top AI model on April 17? (Style Control On)», просмотри 14 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Top AI model on April 17? (Style Control On)» — «claude-opus-4-5-20251101-thinking-32k» с 49%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 49%. Следующий ближайший исход — «claude-opus-4-6» с 49%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Top AI model on April 17? (Style Control On)» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.