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Ключица арестована...?

icon for Ключица арестована...?

Ключица арестована...?

НОВОЕ
30 сент. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$5,122 Объем

Polymarket

25 сентября

$1,881 Объем

2%

30 сентября

$3,241 Объем

5%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is arrested between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest occurs when Clavicular is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true: (i) he is criminally booked or processed; (ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument; (iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or (iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center. An arrest arising from any matter will qualify, whether or not it relates to the charges pending against him in Massachusetts. The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Clavicular being taken into physical custody will not qualify. Appearing at a scheduled court date in response to a summons, including a scheduled arraignment, will not qualify unless he is taken into physical custody. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds. Any arrest occurring before market creation will not qualify. Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent criminal charges filed against looksmaxxing influencer Clavicular (Braden Peters) in Massachusetts on September 22 have intensified trader focus on potential arrest outcomes. Court records detail allegations of rape, drugging for sexual intercourse, and providing alcohol to a minor from a May 2025 incident, with an arraignment scheduled for October 14. Peters’s representatives have called the claims bogus and noted he has not been served or taken into custody, distinguishing this from his earlier Florida battery booking and brief Miami detention. Ongoing scrutiny of his manosphere streaming persona, combined with prior legal entanglements, keeps momentum around whether authorities will execute a warrant before year-end resolution thresholds. Traders are watching for any official statements or court updates that could shift implied probabilities.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is arrested between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying arrest occurs when Clavicular is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:

(i) he is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.

An arrest arising from any matter will qualify, whether or not it relates to the charges pending against him in Massachusetts.

The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Clavicular being taken into physical custody will not qualify. Appearing at a scheduled court date in response to a summons, including a scheduled arraignment, will not qualify unless he is taken into physical custody. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.

Any arrest occurring before market creation will not qualify.

Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is arrested between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest occurs when Clavicular is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true: (i) he is criminally booked or processed; (ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument; (iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or (iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center. An arrest arising from any matter will qualify, whether or not it relates to the charges pending against him in Massachusetts. The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Clavicular being taken into physical custody will not qualify. Appearing at a scheduled court date in response to a summons, including a scheduled arraignment, will not qualify unless he is taken into physical custody. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds. Any arrest occurring before market creation will not qualify. Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$5,122
Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 21, 2026, 11:44 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070be91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is arrested between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest occurs when Clavicular is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true: (i) he is criminally booked or processed; (ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument; (iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or (iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center. An arrest arising from any matter will qualify, whether or not it relates to the charges pending against him in Massachusetts. The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Clavicular being taken into physical custody will not qualify. Appearing at a scheduled court date in response to a summons, including a scheduled arraignment, will not qualify unless he is taken into physical custody. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds. Any arrest occurring before market creation will not qualify. Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent criminal charges filed against looksmaxxing influencer Clavicular (Braden Peters) in Massachusetts on September 22 have intensified trader focus on potential arrest outcomes. Court records detail allegations of rape, drugging for sexual intercourse, and providing alcohol to a minor from a May 2025 incident, with an arraignment scheduled for October 14. Peters’s representatives have called the claims bogus and noted he has not been served or taken into custody, distinguishing this from his earlier Florida battery booking and brief Miami detention. Ongoing scrutiny of his manosphere streaming persona, combined with prior legal entanglements, keeps momentum around whether authorities will execute a warrant before year-end resolution thresholds. Traders are watching for any official statements or court updates that could shift implied probabilities.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is arrested between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying arrest occurs when Clavicular is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:

(i) he is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.

An arrest arising from any matter will qualify, whether or not it relates to the charges pending against him in Massachusetts.

The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Clavicular being taken into physical custody will not qualify. Appearing at a scheduled court date in response to a summons, including a scheduled arraignment, will not qualify unless he is taken into physical custody. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.

Any arrest occurring before market creation will not qualify.

Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is arrested between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest occurs when Clavicular is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true: (i) he is criminally booked or processed; (ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument; (iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or (iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center. An arrest arising from any matter will qualify, whether or not it relates to the charges pending against him in Massachusetts. The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Clavicular being taken into physical custody will not qualify. Appearing at a scheduled court date in response to a summons, including a scheduled arraignment, will not qualify unless he is taken into physical custody. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds. Any arrest occurring before market creation will not qualify. Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$5,122
Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 21, 2026, 11:44 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070be91...

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Ключица арестована...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «30 сентября» с 6%, за ним следует «25 сентября» с 3%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 6¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 6%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Ключица арестована...?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Sep 21, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Ключица арестована...?», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Это очень открытый рынок. Текущий лидер для «Ключица арестована...?» — «30 сентября» всего с 6%, а «25 сентября» близко позади с 3%. Поскольку ни один исход не доминирует, трейдеры видят это как крайне неопределённую ситуацию, что может создавать уникальные торговые возможности. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени, так что добавь эту страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Ключица арестована...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.