Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 65-89 X posts by Elon Musk at 47.5% implied probability for April 11-13, anchored by his consistent 25-35 posts per day cadence confirmed in recent markets—April 3-10 resolved at 240-259 tweets and April 9-11 tallied 62 over two days (31 daily average as of early April 11). This steady rhythm stems from sustained engagement on viral topics like NASA's Artemis II splashdown early today, Irish protests, Australian jury controversies, and Grok humor shares, without major spikes or lulls in the past week. The 40-64 range at 26.5% hedges for a potential weekend dip in activity, while higher bins reflect barriers to outsized volume absent breaking SpaceX or Tesla news; monitor for catalysts through April 13 noon ET resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено65-89 48%
40–64 27%
90-114 20%
115-139 5%
НОВОЕ
$166,239 Объем
НОВОЕ
$166,239 Объем
13 апр. 2026 г.
Менее 40
2%
40–64
27%
65-89
48%
90-114
20%
115-139
5%
140-164
1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 48%
40–64 27%
90-114 20%
115-139 5%
НОВОЕ
$166,239 Объем
НОВОЕ
$166,239 Объем
13 апр. 2026 г.
Менее 40
$15,646 Объем
2%
40–64
$6,293 Объем
27%
65-89
$10,313 Объем
48%
90-114
$5,086 Объем
20%
115-139
$11,568 Объем
5%
140-164
$11,374 Объем
1%
165-189
$21,706 Объем
<1%
190-214
$12,156 Объем
<1%
215-239
$25,245 Объем
<1%
240+
$46,884 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 65-89 X posts by Elon Musk at 47.5% implied probability for April 11-13, anchored by his consistent 25-35 posts per day cadence confirmed in recent markets—April 3-10 resolved at 240-259 tweets and April 9-11 tallied 62 over two days (31 daily average as of early April 11). This steady rhythm stems from sustained engagement on viral topics like NASA's Artemis II splashdown early today, Irish protests, Australian jury controversies, and Grok humor shares, without major spikes or lulls in the past week. The 40-64 range at 26.5% hedges for a potential weekend dip in activity, while higher bins reflect barriers to outsized volume absent breaking SpaceX or Tesla news; monitor for catalysts through April 13 noon ET resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Apr 9, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Объем
$166,239Дата окончания
13 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 9, 2026, 12:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 65-89 X posts by Elon Musk at 47.5% implied probability for April 11-13, anchored by his consistent 25-35 posts per day cadence confirmed in recent markets—April 3-10 resolved at 240-259 tweets and April 9-11 tallied 62 over two days (31 daily average as of early April 11). This steady rhythm stems from sustained engagement on viral topics like NASA's Artemis II splashdown early today, Irish protests, Australian jury controversies, and Grok humor shares, without major spikes or lulls in the past week. The 40-64 range at 26.5% hedges for a potential weekend dip in activity, while higher bins reflect barriers to outsized volume absent breaking SpaceX or Tesla news; monitor for catalysts through April 13 noon ET resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$166,239Дата окончания
13 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 9, 2026, 12:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 65-89 X posts by Elon Musk at 47.5% implied probability for April 11-13, anchored by his consistent 25-35 posts per day cadence confirmed in recent markets—April 3-10 resolved at 240-259 tweets and April 9-11 tallied 62 over two days (31 daily average as of early April 11). This steady rhythm stems from sustained engagement on viral topics like NASA's Artemis II splashdown early today, Irish protests, Australian jury controversies, and Grok humor shares, without major spikes or lulls in the past week. The 40-64 range at 26.5% hedges for a potential weekend dip in activity, while higher bins reflect barriers to outsized volume absent breaking SpaceX or Tesla news; monitor for catalysts through April 13 noon ET resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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