Congress has advanced multiple FY2027 appropriations bills through the House Appropriations Committee, with three full-year measures already passed on the floor, while both chambers have moved continuing resolutions extending current funding levels past the September 30 deadline. The House approved a clean CR through December 4 by a 220-205 vote before recess, and the Senate has considered an alternative measure, reflecting bipartisan efforts to maintain operations amid narrow majorities. These steps reduce the immediate risk of an appropriations lapse on October 1, aligning with trader consensus that funding continuity will hold through standard procedural extensions rather than a shutdown.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоФедеральные ассигнования истекают 1 октября?
Федеральные ассигнования истекают 1 октября?
12% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 окт. 2026 г.
12% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 окт. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congress has advanced multiple FY2027 appropriations bills through the House Appropriations Committee, with three full-year measures already passed on the floor, while both chambers have moved continuing resolutions extending current funding levels past the September 30 deadline. The House approved a clean CR through December 4 by a 220-205 vote before recess, and the Senate has considered an alternative measure, reflecting bipartisan efforts to maintain operations amid narrow majorities. These steps reduce the immediate risk of an appropriations lapse on October 1, aligning with trader consensus that funding continuity will hold through standard procedural extensions rather than a shutdown.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
Объем
$1,340Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congress has advanced multiple FY2027 appropriations bills through the House Appropriations Committee, with three full-year measures already passed on the floor, while both chambers have moved continuing resolutions extending current funding levels past the September 30 deadline. The House approved a clean CR through December 4 by a 220-205 vote before recess, and the Senate has considered an alternative measure, reflecting bipartisan efforts to maintain operations amid narrow majorities. These steps reduce the immediate risk of an appropriations lapse on October 1, aligning with trader consensus that funding continuity will hold through standard procedural extensions rather than a shutdown.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$1,340Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Congress has advanced multiple FY2027 appropriations bills through the House Appropriations Committee, with three full-year measures already passed on the floor, while both chambers have moved continuing resolutions extending current funding levels past the September 30 deadline. The House approved a clean CR through December 4 by a 220-205 vote before recess, and the Senate has considered an alternative measure, reflecting bipartisan efforts to maintain operations amid narrow majorities. These steps reduce the immediate risk of an appropriations lapse on October 1, aligning with trader consensus that funding continuity will hold through standard procedural extensions rather than a shutdown.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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