Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Green holds a commanding position in the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial race, reflected in the 96.8% trader consensus, owing to his strong primary performance with nearly 89% of the Democratic vote in August 2026 and the state's consistent Democratic dominance in statewide contests. Hawaii has not elected a Republican governor since 2006, and forecasts rate the contest Solid Democratic based on the partisan voting index and historical margins exceeding 20 points. Gary Cordery, the Republican nominee who secured his primary with about 76% support, faces structural disadvantages including limited fundraising and the absence of recent general election polling showing meaningful shifts. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include late-breaking developments such as significant scandals or health events affecting the incumbent before the November 3 election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Гавайев
Победитель выборов губернатора Гавайев
$16,085 Объем
$16,085 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Джош Грин (Д)
97%
Гэри Кордери (Р)
2%
$16,085 Объем
$16,085 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Джош Грин (Д)
$7,024 Объем
97%
Гэри Кордери (Р)
$9,061 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Green holds a commanding position in the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial race, reflected in the 96.8% trader consensus, owing to his strong primary performance with nearly 89% of the Democratic vote in August 2026 and the state's consistent Democratic dominance in statewide contests. Hawaii has not elected a Republican governor since 2006, and forecasts rate the contest Solid Democratic based on the partisan voting index and historical margins exceeding 20 points. Gary Cordery, the Republican nominee who secured his primary with about 76% support, faces structural disadvantages including limited fundraising and the absence of recent general election polling showing meaningful shifts. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include late-breaking developments such as significant scandals or health events affecting the incumbent before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Объем
$16,085Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Green holds a commanding position in the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial race, reflected in the 96.8% trader consensus, owing to his strong primary performance with nearly 89% of the Democratic vote in August 2026 and the state's consistent Democratic dominance in statewide contests. Hawaii has not elected a Republican governor since 2006, and forecasts rate the contest Solid Democratic based on the partisan voting index and historical margins exceeding 20 points. Gary Cordery, the Republican nominee who secured his primary with about 76% support, faces structural disadvantages including limited fundraising and the absence of recent general election polling showing meaningful shifts. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include late-breaking developments such as significant scandals or health events affecting the incumbent before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$16,085Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Green holds a commanding position in the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial race, reflected in the 96.8% trader consensus, owing to his strong primary performance with nearly 89% of the Democratic vote in August 2026 and the state's consistent Democratic dominance in statewide contests. Hawaii has not elected a Republican governor since 2006, and forecasts rate the contest Solid Democratic based on the partisan voting index and historical margins exceeding 20 points. Gary Cordery, the Republican nominee who secured his primary with about 76% support, faces structural disadvantages including limited fundraising and the absence of recent general election polling showing meaningful shifts. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include late-breaking developments such as significant scandals or health events affecting the incumbent before the November 3 election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы