Official KNMI observations from Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station—the market's designated resolution source—recorded a maximum temperature of 15°C on April 24, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome amid periods of sun but persistent cool northerly winds and partial cloud cover that capped daytime heating. This aligns with seasonal climatology for late April in Amsterdam, where average highs hover around 13–15°C based on 30-year normals, and recent model guidance from ECMWF and national forecasts had projected peaks near 15–16°C. Scenarios that could challenge this include a rare post-verification data revision from quality-controlled hourly readings, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon after initial publication.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on April 24?
15°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$91,279 Объем
$91,279 Объем
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$91,279 Объем
$91,279 Объем
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official KNMI observations from Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station—the market's designated resolution source—recorded a maximum temperature of 15°C on April 24, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome amid periods of sun but persistent cool northerly winds and partial cloud cover that capped daytime heating. This aligns with seasonal climatology for late April in Amsterdam, where average highs hover around 13–15°C based on 30-year normals, and recent model guidance from ECMWF and national forecasts had projected peaks near 15–16°C. Scenarios that could challenge this include a rare post-verification data revision from quality-controlled hourly readings, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon after initial publication.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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