Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models such as ECMWF and GFS converge on a Beijing high of 28°C for June 4, supported by persistent cloud cover, northeasterly flow, and limited daytime heating following recent regional patterns. This consensus aligns with observed temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s earlier in the week and historical early-June baselines near 25–30°C, producing the market’s near-certain 28°C outcome. Thunderstorm activity and moisture could introduce minor variability, yet model agreement through the afternoon window leaves little room for deviation outside that single degree. Updated observational data or rapid clearing could still shift the final recorded maximum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on June 4?
Highest temperature in Beijing on June 4?
28°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$296,079 Объем
$296,079 Объем
4 июн. 2026 г.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$296,079 Объем
$296,079 Объем
4 июн. 2026 г.
25°C or below
$55,004 Объем
No
26°C
$33,009 Объем
No
27°C
$54,581 Объем
No
28°C
$69,837 Объем
Yes
29°C
$36,280 Объем
No
30°C
$21,300 Объем
No
31°C
$11,299 Объем
No
32°C
$7,004 Объем
No
33°C
$4,315 Объем
No
34°C
$1,536 Объем
No
35°C or higher
$1,912 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models such as ECMWF and GFS converge on a Beijing high of 28°C for June 4, supported by persistent cloud cover, northeasterly flow, and limited daytime heating following recent regional patterns. This consensus aligns with observed temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s earlier in the week and historical early-June baselines near 25–30°C, producing the market’s near-certain 28°C outcome. Thunderstorm activity and moisture could introduce minor variability, yet model agreement through the afternoon window leaves little room for deviation outside that single degree. Updated observational data or rapid clearing could still shift the final recorded maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Объем
$296,079Дата окончания
4 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models such as ECMWF and GFS converge on a Beijing high of 28°C for June 4, supported by persistent cloud cover, northeasterly flow, and limited daytime heating following recent regional patterns. This consensus aligns with observed temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s earlier in the week and historical early-June baselines near 25–30°C, producing the market’s near-certain 28°C outcome. Thunderstorm activity and moisture could introduce minor variability, yet model agreement through the afternoon window leaves little room for deviation outside that single degree. Updated observational data or rapid clearing could still shift the final recorded maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$296,079Дата окончания
4 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models such as ECMWF and GFS converge on a Beijing high of 28°C for June 4, supported by persistent cloud cover, northeasterly flow, and limited daytime heating following recent regional patterns. This consensus aligns with observed temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s earlier in the week and historical early-June baselines near 25–30°C, producing the market’s near-certain 28°C outcome. Thunderstorm activity and moisture could introduce minor variability, yet model agreement through the afternoon window leaves little room for deviation outside that single degree. Updated observational data or rapid clearing could still shift the final recorded maximum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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