Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 24°C as Beijing's highest temperature on May 2, reflecting confirmed peak readings of 24°C at the Beijing Capital International Airport station, the market's official resolution source per China Meteorological Administration (CMA) data. Cloudy skies, northerly winds around 10-15 km/h, and a recent cool air mass have suppressed daytime heating, aligning with updated CMA hourly observations that peaked mid-afternoon before a sharp evening drop to the mid-teens. This positioning matches ensemble forecast models from CMA and global systems, showing minimal intensification potential. Realistic challenges would require a late data revision uncovering a higher outlier reading from station sensors—unlikely given synchronized reports—or microclimatic urban heat effects exceeding models, though current trends confirm stability as the resolution window closes.