The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest forecast, updated late April 2, projects a maximum temperature of 29°C in Buenos Aires during the afternoon of April 3, with morning readings around 25°C under isolated storms escalating to strong thunderstorms and 10-40% rain chances, alongside shifting winds from north to southeast. Yet trader consensus tilts toward 28°C at 33% implied probability, closely trailed by 29°C or higher (25.5%) and 27°C (24.5%), reflecting uncertainty in convective cloud cover capping diurnal heating despite warm advection from a lingering high-pressure ridge. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show a 27-29°C spread, influenced by potential sea-breeze moderation and urban heat effects at the resolving Ezeiza station; real-time hourly observations will clarify peak insolation versus storm interference above April's climatological 22°C average.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Буэнос-Айресе 3 апреля?
Самая высокая температура в Буэнос-Айресе 3 апреля?
28°C 33%
29°C или выше 24%
27°C 22%
26°C 14%
$41,042 Объем
$41,042 Объем
19°C или ниже
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
14%
27°C
22%
28°C
33%
29°C или выше
24%
28°C 33%
29°C или выше 24%
27°C 22%
26°C 14%
$41,042 Объем
$41,042 Объем
19°C или ниже
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
14%
27°C
22%
28°C
33%
29°C или выше
24%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest forecast, updated late April 2, projects a maximum temperature of 29°C in Buenos Aires during the afternoon of April 3, with morning readings around 25°C under isolated storms escalating to strong thunderstorms and 10-40% rain chances, alongside shifting winds from north to southeast. Yet trader consensus tilts toward 28°C at 33% implied probability, closely trailed by 29°C or higher (25.5%) and 27°C (24.5%), reflecting uncertainty in convective cloud cover capping diurnal heating despite warm advection from a lingering high-pressure ridge. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show a 27-29°C spread, influenced by potential sea-breeze moderation and urban heat effects at the resolving Ezeiza station; real-time hourly observations will clarify peak insolation versus storm interference above April's climatological 22°C average.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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