Trader consensus favors 21°C (30.5%) as Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 4, closely trailed by 20°C and 22°C, mirroring Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts and GFS-ECMWF ensemble means of 21-24°C amid post-heatwave cooling. After record-high minimums and peaks near 27°C on April 3, a southerly frontal system brings early-morning showers and persistent cloud cover, suppressing solar heating and favoring maxima in the low 20s. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on cloud persistence—thicker overcast tips toward 20-21°C, partial clearing toward 22-23°C—against April climatological averages of 22°C. Watch SMN bulletins and Ezeiza Airport observations for resolution, with new 12Z runs potentially shifting odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 4?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 4?
21°C 31%
20°C 23%
22°C 19%
23°C 12%
$20,908 Объем
$20,908 Объем
4 апр. 2026 г.
17°C or below
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
11%
20°C
23%
21°C
31%
22°C
19%
23°C
12%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
1%
21°C 31%
20°C 23%
22°C 19%
23°C 12%
$20,908 Объем
$20,908 Объем
4 апр. 2026 г.
17°C or below
$1,551 Объем
1%
18°C
$1,155 Объем
3%
19°C
$1,475 Объем
11%
20°C
$1,366 Объем
23%
21°C
$1,497 Объем
31%
22°C
$1,427 Объем
19%
23°C
$1,300 Объем
12%
24°C
$1,998 Объем
5%
25°C
$1,715 Объем
1%
26°C
$2,161 Объем
<1%
27°C or higher
$5,270 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 21°C (30.5%) as Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 4, closely trailed by 20°C and 22°C, mirroring Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts and GFS-ECMWF ensemble means of 21-24°C amid post-heatwave cooling. After record-high minimums and peaks near 27°C on April 3, a southerly frontal system brings early-morning showers and persistent cloud cover, suppressing solar heating and favoring maxima in the low 20s. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on cloud persistence—thicker overcast tips toward 20-21°C, partial clearing toward 22-23°C—against April climatological averages of 22°C. Watch SMN bulletins and Ezeiza Airport observations for resolution, with new 12Z runs potentially shifting odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ET
Объем
$20,908Дата окончания
4 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 21°C (30.5%) as Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 4, closely trailed by 20°C and 22°C, mirroring Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts and GFS-ECMWF ensemble means of 21-24°C amid post-heatwave cooling. After record-high minimums and peaks near 27°C on April 3, a southerly frontal system brings early-morning showers and persistent cloud cover, suppressing solar heating and favoring maxima in the low 20s. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on cloud persistence—thicker overcast tips toward 20-21°C, partial clearing toward 22-23°C—against April climatological averages of 22°C. Watch SMN bulletins and Ezeiza Airport observations for resolution, with new 12Z runs potentially shifting odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$20,908Дата окончания
4 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 21°C (30.5%) as Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 4, closely trailed by 20°C and 22°C, mirroring Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts and GFS-ECMWF ensemble means of 21-24°C amid post-heatwave cooling. After record-high minimums and peaks near 27°C on April 3, a southerly frontal system brings early-morning showers and persistent cloud cover, suppressing solar heating and favoring maxima in the low 20s. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on cloud persistence—thicker overcast tips toward 20-21°C, partial clearing toward 22-23°C—against April climatological averages of 22°C. Watch SMN bulletins and Ezeiza Airport observations for resolution, with new 12Z runs potentially shifting odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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