Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting highest temperatures at Ministro Pistarini International Airport (SAEZ) clustered around 19–22°C on April 5 amid an ongoing cooling trend following warmer early autumn conditions. Recent 24–48-hour model runs show slight divergences due to variable cloud cover, southerly winds, and the potential timing of a weak frontal boundary, preventing any outcome from dominating. This aligns with Buenos Aires' climatological early April maxima averaging 22°C, though current atmospheric patterns favor moderation. Watch for updated Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) bulletins and fresh model outputs every 6–12 hours, which could refine the spread before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Буэнос-Айресе 5 апреля?
Самая высокая температура в Буэнос-Айресе 5 апреля?
19°C 32%
21°C 26%
20°C 22%
22°C 13%
14°C или ниже
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
9%
19°C
28%
20°C
22%
21°C
26%
22°C
13%
23°C
7%
24°C или выше
2%
19°C 32%
21°C 26%
20°C 22%
22°C 13%
14°C или ниже
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
9%
19°C
28%
20°C
22%
21°C
26%
22°C
13%
23°C
7%
24°C или выше
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting highest temperatures at Ministro Pistarini International Airport (SAEZ) clustered around 19–22°C on April 5 amid an ongoing cooling trend following warmer early autumn conditions. Recent 24–48-hour model runs show slight divergences due to variable cloud cover, southerly winds, and the potential timing of a weak frontal boundary, preventing any outcome from dominating. This aligns with Buenos Aires' climatological early April maxima averaging 22°C, though current atmospheric patterns favor moderation. Watch for updated Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) bulletins and fresh model outputs every 6–12 hours, which could refine the spread before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы