Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 19–21°C for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 6, reflecting inherent uncertainty in short-range forecast models three days out, with no dominant outcome exceeding 26%. Latest guidance from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS projects mild autumn conditions amid a developing low-pressure trough over the Río de la Plata, following warmer early-week highs of 26–27°C on April 2–3 driven by northerly flows. Differentiating factors include frontal timing, southerly wind speeds (potentially 10–15 km/h), and cloud cover persistence, which could cap peaks at 19°C if overcast or allow 21°C under partial clearing. SMN bulletins and model refreshes expected April 4–5 may narrow the spread.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Буэнос-Айресе 6 апреля?
Самая высокая температура в Буэнос-Айресе 6 апреля?
21°C 24%
20°C 22%
19°C 21%
18°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 апр. 2026 г.
14°C или ниже
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
7%
18°C
16%
19°C
21%
20°C
22%
21°C
24%
22°C
12%
23°C
6%
24°C или выше
6%
21°C 24%
20°C 22%
19°C 21%
18°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 апр. 2026 г.
14°C или ниже
$340 Объем
1%
15°C
$78 Объем
2%
16°C
$58 Объем
5%
17°C
$83 Объем
7%
18°C
$123 Объем
16%
19°C
$86 Объем
21%
20°C
$47 Объем
22%
21°C
$147 Объем
24%
22°C
$49 Объем
12%
23°C
$88 Объем
6%
24°C или выше
$414 Объем
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 19–21°C for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 6, reflecting inherent uncertainty in short-range forecast models three days out, with no dominant outcome exceeding 26%. Latest guidance from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS projects mild autumn conditions amid a developing low-pressure trough over the Río de la Plata, following warmer early-week highs of 26–27°C on April 2–3 driven by northerly flows. Differentiating factors include frontal timing, southerly wind speeds (potentially 10–15 km/h), and cloud cover persistence, which could cap peaks at 19°C if overcast or allow 21°C under partial clearing. SMN bulletins and model refreshes expected April 4–5 may narrow the spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Объем
$1,511Дата окончания
6 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 19–21°C for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 6, reflecting inherent uncertainty in short-range forecast models three days out, with no dominant outcome exceeding 26%. Latest guidance from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS projects mild autumn conditions amid a developing low-pressure trough over the Río de la Plata, following warmer early-week highs of 26–27°C on April 2–3 driven by northerly flows. Differentiating factors include frontal timing, southerly wind speeds (potentially 10–15 km/h), and cloud cover persistence, which could cap peaks at 19°C if overcast or allow 21°C under partial clearing. SMN bulletins and model refreshes expected April 4–5 may narrow the spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$1,511Дата окончания
6 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 19–21°C for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 6, reflecting inherent uncertainty in short-range forecast models three days out, with no dominant outcome exceeding 26%. Latest guidance from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS projects mild autumn conditions amid a developing low-pressure trough over the Río de la Plata, following warmer early-week highs of 26–27°C on April 2–3 driven by northerly flows. Differentiating factors include frontal timing, southerly wind speeds (potentially 10–15 km/h), and cloud cover persistence, which could cap peaks at 19°C if overcast or allow 21°C under partial clearing. SMN bulletins and model refreshes expected April 4–5 may narrow the spread.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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