Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a high near 84°F in Chicago on August 26, supporting the market's leading 84-85°F bin at 42.5% implied probability. A warm, moist southwesterly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary is expected to yield partly to mostly sunny skies with afternoon temperatures peaking in the low-to-mid 80s before scattered showers and thunderstorms develop later in the day. This aligns closely with long-term normals of 81.4°F for the date while reflecting modest positive anomalies from recent model consensus. Cloud cover and any earlier convective initiation remain the primary variables that could cap the maximum a degree or two lower, keeping the 82-83°F outcome in contention at 28.5%. Updated short-range guidance tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution inputs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чикаго 26 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Чикаго 26 августа?
84-85°F 41%
82-83°F 31%
86-87°F 15%
80-81°F 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 авг. 2026 г.
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
12%
82-83°F
31%
84-85°F
41%
86-87°F
15%
88-89°F
8%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 41%
82-83°F 31%
86-87°F 15%
80-81°F 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 авг. 2026 г.
75°F or below
$108 Объем
<1%
76-77°F
$36 Объем
3%
78-79°F
$65 Объем
3%
80-81°F
$17 Объем
12%
82-83°F
$164 Объем
31%
84-85°F
$109 Объем
41%
86-87°F
$59 Объем
15%
88-89°F
$73 Объем
8%
90-91°F
$73 Объем
<1%
92-93°F
$188 Объем
<1%
94°F or higher
$388 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a high near 84°F in Chicago on August 26, supporting the market's leading 84-85°F bin at 42.5% implied probability. A warm, moist southwesterly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary is expected to yield partly to mostly sunny skies with afternoon temperatures peaking in the low-to-mid 80s before scattered showers and thunderstorms develop later in the day. This aligns closely with long-term normals of 81.4°F for the date while reflecting modest positive anomalies from recent model consensus. Cloud cover and any earlier convective initiation remain the primary variables that could cap the maximum a degree or two lower, keeping the 82-83°F outcome in contention at 28.5%. Updated short-range guidance tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Объем
$1,280Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a high near 84°F in Chicago on August 26, supporting the market's leading 84-85°F bin at 42.5% implied probability. A warm, moist southwesterly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary is expected to yield partly to mostly sunny skies with afternoon temperatures peaking in the low-to-mid 80s before scattered showers and thunderstorms develop later in the day. This aligns closely with long-term normals of 81.4°F for the date while reflecting modest positive anomalies from recent model consensus. Cloud cover and any earlier convective initiation remain the primary variables that could cap the maximum a degree or two lower, keeping the 82-83°F outcome in contention at 28.5%. Updated short-range guidance tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,280Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a high near 84°F in Chicago on August 26, supporting the market's leading 84-85°F bin at 42.5% implied probability. A warm, moist southwesterly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary is expected to yield partly to mostly sunny skies with afternoon temperatures peaking in the low-to-mid 80s before scattered showers and thunderstorms develop later in the day. This aligns closely with long-term normals of 81.4°F for the date while reflecting modest positive anomalies from recent model consensus. Cloud cover and any earlier convective initiation remain the primary variables that could cap the maximum a degree or two lower, keeping the 82-83°F outcome in contention at 28.5%. Updated short-range guidance tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution inputs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы