Persistent high pressure over the central U.S. and an active heat advisory through August 16 support National Weather Service forecasts for sunny, hot conditions with a Dallas high near 102–104°F. Southerly winds and elevated dew points are sustaining heat indices above 100°F without significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate daytime peaks. Model consensus from recent runs shows limited variability around these values, consistent with the market’s strong 68.5% implied probability for 102–103°F and lower odds for outliers. Traders are closely watching the final afternoon observations and any late-day model adjustments before resolution.