Official National Weather Service observations at Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's designated reporting station, confirm the highest temperature on May 2, 2026, reached 76-77°F, driving the 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. This positioning stems from a recent cold front ushering in cooler continental air, northerly winds, and persistent cloud cover that limited solar heating and daytime highs to 6-7°F below the 83°F May climatological normal. Forecast models from NOAA accurately anticipated this suppression, aligning trader sentiment with verified METAR data. While post-preliminary quality checks by the National Centers for Environmental Information rarely alter records, a challenge could arise from sensor recalibration or site-specific anomalies, though none are indicated.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Хьюстоне 2 мая?
76-77°F 100.0%
69°F или ниже <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$77,511 Объем
$77,511 Объем
69°F или ниже
Нет
70-71°F
Нет
72-73°F
Нет
74-75°F
Нет
76-77°F
Да
78-79°F
Нет
80-81°F
Нет
82-83°F
Нет
84-85°F
Нет
86-87°F
Нет
88°F или выше
Нет
76-77°F 100.0%
69°F или ниже <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$77,511 Объем
$77,511 Объем
69°F или ниже
Нет
70-71°F
Нет
72-73°F
Нет
74-75°F
Нет
76-77°F
Да
78-79°F
Нет
80-81°F
Нет
82-83°F
Нет
84-85°F
Нет
86-87°F
Нет
88°F или выше
Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Official National Weather Service observations at Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's designated reporting station, confirm the highest temperature on May 2, 2026, reached 76-77°F, driving the 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. This positioning stems from a recent cold front ushering in cooler continental air, northerly winds, and persistent cloud cover that limited solar heating and daytime highs to 6-7°F below the 83°F May climatological normal. Forecast models from NOAA accurately anticipated this suppression, aligning trader sentiment with verified METAR data. While post-preliminary quality checks by the National Centers for Environmental Information rarely alter records, a challenge could arise from sensor recalibration or site-specific anomalies, though none are indicated.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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