Recent official forecasts from Turkish meteorological sources and global models indicate mostly sunny to clear conditions over Istanbul on September 9 under persistent northeasterly flow, supporting daytime maxima near 26–28°C. These align with above-normal early-September temperatures driven by high pressure and light winds limiting cloud cover and allowing strong insolation. Trader consensus, reflected in the 58.5% implied probability on 25°C, appears anchored to slightly cooler model runs or historical analogs emphasizing the cooling influence of the poyraz winds, while lower probabilities on 27°C and above suggest limited upside risk from model spread or minor timing shifts in peak heating. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and surface observations through September 7 reinforce the narrow 24–27°C envelope as the dominant range ahead of final resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 9 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Стамбуле 9 сентября?
25°C 59%
26°C 24%
24°C 13%
27°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
9 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
13%
25°C
59%
26°C
24%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C или выше
2%
25°C 59%
26°C 24%
24°C 13%
27°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
9 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
$154 Объем
1%
22°C
$110 Объем
2%
23°C
$114 Объем
3%
24°C
$149 Объем
13%
25°C
$254 Объем
59%
26°C
$505 Объем
24%
27°C
$71 Объем
4%
28°C
$87 Объем
2%
29°C
$151 Объем
1%
30°C
$80 Объем
2%
31°C или выше
$80 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Turkish meteorological sources and global models indicate mostly sunny to clear conditions over Istanbul on September 9 under persistent northeasterly flow, supporting daytime maxima near 26–28°C. These align with above-normal early-September temperatures driven by high pressure and light winds limiting cloud cover and allowing strong insolation. Trader consensus, reflected in the 58.5% implied probability on 25°C, appears anchored to slightly cooler model runs or historical analogs emphasizing the cooling influence of the poyraz winds, while lower probabilities on 27°C and above suggest limited upside risk from model spread or minor timing shifts in peak heating. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and surface observations through September 7 reinforce the narrow 24–27°C envelope as the dominant range ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$1,755Дата окончания
9 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Turkish meteorological sources and global models indicate mostly sunny to clear conditions over Istanbul on September 9 under persistent northeasterly flow, supporting daytime maxima near 26–28°C. These align with above-normal early-September temperatures driven by high pressure and light winds limiting cloud cover and allowing strong insolation. Trader consensus, reflected in the 58.5% implied probability on 25°C, appears anchored to slightly cooler model runs or historical analogs emphasizing the cooling influence of the poyraz winds, while lower probabilities on 27°C and above suggest limited upside risk from model spread or minor timing shifts in peak heating. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and surface observations through September 7 reinforce the narrow 24–27°C envelope as the dominant range ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,755Дата окончания
9 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Turkish meteorological sources and global models indicate mostly sunny to clear conditions over Istanbul on September 9 under persistent northeasterly flow, supporting daytime maxima near 26–28°C. These align with above-normal early-September temperatures driven by high pressure and light winds limiting cloud cover and allowing strong insolation. Trader consensus, reflected in the 58.5% implied probability on 25°C, appears anchored to slightly cooler model runs or historical analogs emphasizing the cooling influence of the poyraz winds, while lower probabilities on 27°C and above suggest limited upside risk from model spread or minor timing shifts in peak heating. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and surface observations through September 7 reinforce the narrow 24–27°C envelope as the dominant range ahead of final resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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