Recent Hong Kong Observatory and numerical model guidance indicate a partly cloudy regime on September 7 with light southerly winds and a 40-50% chance of showers, supporting daily maximum temperatures near 31-32 °C. These conditions align with the seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal September temperatures linked to a strengthening El Niño and a building upper-level anticyclone over southern China. Persistent cloud cover and scattered convection are expected to cap extreme heating, keeping the probability of 33 °C or higher low while making 30 °C a plausible downside outcome if showers arrive earlier or are more widespread. Fresh model runs and the next HKO nine-day forecast update will likely refine the exact peak before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 7 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Гонконге 7 сентября?
31°C 37%
32°C 34%
30°C 18%
33°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 сент. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
18%
31°C
37%
32°C
34%
33°C
10%
34°C
<1%
35°C или выше
<1%
31°C 37%
32°C 34%
30°C 18%
33°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 сент. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
$135 Объем
<1%
26°C
$117 Объем
<1%
27°C
$143 Объем
<1%
28°C
$80 Объем
<1%
29°C
$18 Объем
4%
30°C
$318 Объем
18%
31°C
$67 Объем
37%
32°C
$150 Объем
34%
33°C
$403 Объем
10%
34°C
$79 Объем
<1%
35°C или выше
$27 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory and numerical model guidance indicate a partly cloudy regime on September 7 with light southerly winds and a 40-50% chance of showers, supporting daily maximum temperatures near 31-32 °C. These conditions align with the seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal September temperatures linked to a strengthening El Niño and a building upper-level anticyclone over southern China. Persistent cloud cover and scattered convection are expected to cap extreme heating, keeping the probability of 33 °C or higher low while making 30 °C a plausible downside outcome if showers arrive earlier or are more widespread. Fresh model runs and the next HKO nine-day forecast update will likely refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$1,537Дата окончания
7 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory and numerical model guidance indicate a partly cloudy regime on September 7 with light southerly winds and a 40-50% chance of showers, supporting daily maximum temperatures near 31-32 °C. These conditions align with the seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal September temperatures linked to a strengthening El Niño and a building upper-level anticyclone over southern China. Persistent cloud cover and scattered convection are expected to cap extreme heating, keeping the probability of 33 °C or higher low while making 30 °C a plausible downside outcome if showers arrive earlier or are more widespread. Fresh model runs and the next HKO nine-day forecast update will likely refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$1,537Дата окончания
7 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory and numerical model guidance indicate a partly cloudy regime on September 7 with light southerly winds and a 40-50% chance of showers, supporting daily maximum temperatures near 31-32 °C. These conditions align with the seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal September temperatures linked to a strengthening El Niño and a building upper-level anticyclone over southern China. Persistent cloud cover and scattered convection are expected to cap extreme heating, keeping the probability of 33 °C or higher low while making 30 °C a plausible downside outcome if showers arrive earlier or are more widespread. Fresh model runs and the next HKO nine-day forecast update will likely refine the exact peak before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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