India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts confirm a maximum temperature of 34°C for Lucknow on May 7 under partly cloudy skies with potential thundery development and light rain, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 35°C or below. Recent unseasonably cool conditions—May 6 high of 33.3°C (6.4°C below normal) and May 4 peak of 29°C amid 14.8 mm rainfall—stem from persistent cloud cover and atmospheric instability suppressing daytime solar heating, far below typical early-May norms of 39–42°C. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, model consensus shows no rapid clearing; an unexpected prolonged sunshine window could challenge this, though IMD's evening bulletin is key for final confirmation before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 7?
35°C or below 100.0%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$60,348 Объем
$60,348 Объем
35°C or below
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C or higher
No
35°C or below 100.0%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$60,348 Объем
$60,348 Объем
35°C or below
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 5, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts confirm a maximum temperature of 34°C for Lucknow on May 7 under partly cloudy skies with potential thundery development and light rain, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 35°C or below. Recent unseasonably cool conditions—May 6 high of 33.3°C (6.4°C below normal) and May 4 peak of 29°C amid 14.8 mm rainfall—stem from persistent cloud cover and atmospheric instability suppressing daytime solar heating, far below typical early-May norms of 39–42°C. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, model consensus shows no rapid clearing; an unexpected prolonged sunshine window could challenge this, though IMD's evening bulletin is key for final confirmation before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы