Recent forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate Madrid highs near 36°C on July 3 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds, aligning with climatological norms for early July in central Spain's continental climate. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 36–37°C because numerical weather models show minor divergences in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing, with urban heat-island effects and surface sensible heating potentially pushing readings one degree higher. Historical analogs from similar synoptic patterns confirm that 35–38°C outcomes remain plausible within forecast uncertainty ranges, while extremes below 34°C or above 39°C would require unexpected cloud cover or stronger advection not currently supported by ensemble guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мадриде 3 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 3 июля?
37°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$157,331 Объем
$157,331 Объем
3 июл. 2026 г.
32°C or below
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$157,331 Объем
$157,331 Объем
3 июл. 2026 г.
32°C or below
$5,084 Объем
No
33°C
$3,592 Объем
No
34°C
$42,963 Объем
No
35°C
$29,958 Объем
No
36°C
$25,440 Объем
No
37°C
$18,042 Объем
Yes
38°C
$13,056 Объем
No
39°C
$8,435 Объем
No
40°C
$5,055 Объем
No
41°C
$3,727 Объем
No
42°C or higher
$1,979 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate Madrid highs near 36°C on July 3 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds, aligning with climatological norms for early July in central Spain's continental climate. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 36–37°C because numerical weather models show minor divergences in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing, with urban heat-island effects and surface sensible heating potentially pushing readings one degree higher. Historical analogs from similar synoptic patterns confirm that 35–38°C outcomes remain plausible within forecast uncertainty ranges, while extremes below 34°C or above 39°C would require unexpected cloud cover or stronger advection not currently supported by ensemble guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Объем
$157,331Дата окончания
3 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate Madrid highs near 36°C on July 3 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds, aligning with climatological norms for early July in central Spain's continental climate. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 36–37°C because numerical weather models show minor divergences in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing, with urban heat-island effects and surface sensible heating potentially pushing readings one degree higher. Historical analogs from similar synoptic patterns confirm that 35–38°C outcomes remain plausible within forecast uncertainty ranges, while extremes below 34°C or above 39°C would require unexpected cloud cover or stronger advection not currently supported by ensemble guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$157,331Дата окончания
3 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Recent forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate Madrid highs near 36°C on July 3 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds, aligning with climatological norms for early July in central Spain's continental climate. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 36–37°C because numerical weather models show minor divergences in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing, with urban heat-island effects and surface sensible heating potentially pushing readings one degree higher. Historical analogs from similar synoptic patterns confirm that 35–38°C outcomes remain plausible within forecast uncertainty ranges, while extremes below 34°C or above 39°C would require unexpected cloud cover or stronger advection not currently supported by ensemble guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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