India Meteorological Department observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 33.9°C on May 9, 2026—a departure of -5.8°C below seasonal norms—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 35°C or below, as this aligns precisely with the market's lowest outcome bin. Recent above-normal rainfall across Uttar Pradesh in early May, including the second-coolest May day in 57 years on May 5 at 28°C, has introduced persistent cloud cover and cooler air masses, suppressing typical pre-monsoon heat that often exceeds 40°C. Forecast models from IMD anticipated this cap at around 35°C, with dry conditions persisting but no intensification signals. Realistic challenges would require a late-day measurement revision upward by official stations or unverified airport data discrepancies, though historical resolution precedents favor observed city-center readings. Final IMD bulletin expected soon will lock in resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 9?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 9?
35°C or below 100.0%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$32,994 Объем
$32,994 Объем
9 мая 2026 г.
35°C or below
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C or higher
No
35°C or below 100.0%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$32,994 Объем
$32,994 Объем
9 мая 2026 г.
35°C or below
$5,656 Объем
Yes
36°C
$4,124 Объем
No
37°C
$3,108 Объем
No
38°C
$2,276 Объем
No
39°C
$2,901 Объем
No
40°C
$1,391 Объем
No
41°C
$1,931 Объем
No
42°C
$1,632 Объем
No
43°C
$3,001 Объем
No
44°C
$3,543 Объем
No
45°C or higher
$3,430 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 33.9°C on May 9, 2026—a departure of -5.8°C below seasonal norms—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 35°C or below, as this aligns precisely with the market's lowest outcome bin. Recent above-normal rainfall across Uttar Pradesh in early May, including the second-coolest May day in 57 years on May 5 at 28°C, has introduced persistent cloud cover and cooler air masses, suppressing typical pre-monsoon heat that often exceeds 40°C. Forecast models from IMD anticipated this cap at around 35°C, with dry conditions persisting but no intensification signals. Realistic challenges would require a late-day measurement revision upward by official stations or unverified airport data discrepancies, though historical resolution precedents favor observed city-center readings. Final IMD bulletin expected soon will lock in resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Объем
$32,994Дата окончания
9 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 33.9°C on May 9, 2026—a departure of -5.8°C below seasonal norms—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 35°C or below, as this aligns precisely with the market's lowest outcome bin. Recent above-normal rainfall across Uttar Pradesh in early May, including the second-coolest May day in 57 years on May 5 at 28°C, has introduced persistent cloud cover and cooler air masses, suppressing typical pre-monsoon heat that often exceeds 40°C. Forecast models from IMD anticipated this cap at around 35°C, with dry conditions persisting but no intensification signals. Realistic challenges would require a late-day measurement revision upward by official stations or unverified airport data discrepancies, though historical resolution precedents favor observed city-center readings. Final IMD bulletin expected soon will lock in resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$32,994Дата окончания
9 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
India Meteorological Department observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 33.9°C on May 9, 2026—a departure of -5.8°C below seasonal norms—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 35°C or below, as this aligns precisely with the market's lowest outcome bin. Recent above-normal rainfall across Uttar Pradesh in early May, including the second-coolest May day in 57 years on May 5 at 28°C, has introduced persistent cloud cover and cooler air masses, suppressing typical pre-monsoon heat that often exceeds 40°C. Forecast models from IMD anticipated this cap at around 35°C, with dry conditions persisting but no intensification signals. Realistic challenges would require a late-day measurement revision upward by official stations or unverified airport data discrepancies, though historical resolution precedents favor observed city-center readings. Final IMD bulletin expected soon will lock in resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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