PAGASA's latest Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model run projects a maximum temperature of 36°C at Port Area, Metro Manila, on May 7, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers driven by easterlies—a pattern capping peak heating during the ongoing dry season. This aligns with current observations, including 35.8°C at Science Garden, Quezon City, and yesterday's 36.3°C at nearby Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA), fostering trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for 36°C as the market nears resolution based on finalized Wunderground NAIA data. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon clearing skies boosting insolation or urban heat island effects pushing readings to 37°C, though model stability and humidity suppress such risks; expect post-midnight confirmation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Manila on May 7?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 7?
36°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$34,241 Объем
$34,241 Объем
7 мая 2026 г.
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$34,241 Объем
$34,241 Объем
7 мая 2026 г.
30°C or below
$356 Объем
No
31°C
$592 Объем
No
32°C
$1,459 Объем
No
33°C
$1,539 Объем
No
34°C
$11,886 Объем
No
35°C
$5,762 Объем
No
36°C
$3,921 Объем
Yes
37°C
$2,890 Объем
No
38°C
$2,878 Объем
No
39°C
$1,829 Объем
No
40°C or higher
$1,130 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model run projects a maximum temperature of 36°C at Port Area, Metro Manila, on May 7, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers driven by easterlies—a pattern capping peak heating during the ongoing dry season. This aligns with current observations, including 35.8°C at Science Garden, Quezon City, and yesterday's 36.3°C at nearby Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA), fostering trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for 36°C as the market nears resolution based on finalized Wunderground NAIA data. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon clearing skies boosting insolation or urban heat island effects pushing readings to 37°C, though model stability and humidity suppress such risks; expect post-midnight confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$34,241Дата окончания
7 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model run projects a maximum temperature of 36°C at Port Area, Metro Manila, on May 7, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers driven by easterlies—a pattern capping peak heating during the ongoing dry season. This aligns with current observations, including 35.8°C at Science Garden, Quezon City, and yesterday's 36.3°C at nearby Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA), fostering trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for 36°C as the market nears resolution based on finalized Wunderground NAIA data. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon clearing skies boosting insolation or urban heat island effects pushing readings to 37°C, though model stability and humidity suppress such risks; expect post-midnight confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$34,241Дата окончания
7 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
PAGASA's latest Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model run projects a maximum temperature of 36°C at Port Area, Metro Manila, on May 7, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers driven by easterlies—a pattern capping peak heating during the ongoing dry season. This aligns with current observations, including 35.8°C at Science Garden, Quezon City, and yesterday's 36.3°C at nearby Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA), fostering trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for 36°C as the market nears resolution based on finalized Wunderground NAIA data. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon clearing skies boosting insolation or urban heat island effects pushing readings to 37°C, though model stability and humidity suppress such risks; expect post-midnight confirmation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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