Hong Kong Observatory guidance for July 16 forecasts a daily range of 27–31 °C under typical subtropical monsoon flow, with medium-high rain chances and humidity of 75–95 %. This range anchors trader sentiment near 30–31 °C, as the official outlook implies limited afternoon heating once convective showers develop. Recent July mean maximum temperatures of 32.4 °C at the Observatory provide seasonal context for above-average warmth, yet persistent cloud cover and thunderstorm timing introduce enough variability to keep 29 °C and 32 °C viable. Key resolution factors include peak solar insolation before any rain, steering winds, and the precise timing of convective initiation—variables that short-range models continue to refine ahead of the observation window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 16 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Гонконге 16 июля?
27°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
28°C <1%
$240,529 Объем
$240,529 Объем
16 июл. 2026 г.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
28°C <1%
$240,529 Объем
$240,529 Объем
16 июл. 2026 г.
25°C or below
$8,973 Объем
No
26°C
$20,000 Объем
No
27°C
$68,251 Объем
Yes
28°C
$39,786 Объем
No
29°C
$29,854 Объем
No
30°C
$24,025 Объем
No
31°C
$19,870 Объем
No
32°C
$10,006 Объем
No
33°C
$8,952 Объем
No
34°C
$4,934 Объем
No
35°C or higher
$5,878 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory guidance for July 16 forecasts a daily range of 27–31 °C under typical subtropical monsoon flow, with medium-high rain chances and humidity of 75–95 %. This range anchors trader sentiment near 30–31 °C, as the official outlook implies limited afternoon heating once convective showers develop. Recent July mean maximum temperatures of 32.4 °C at the Observatory provide seasonal context for above-average warmth, yet persistent cloud cover and thunderstorm timing introduce enough variability to keep 29 °C and 32 °C viable. Key resolution factors include peak solar insolation before any rain, steering winds, and the precise timing of convective initiation—variables that short-range models continue to refine ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Объем
$240,529Дата окончания
16 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory guidance for July 16 forecasts a daily range of 27–31 °C under typical subtropical monsoon flow, with medium-high rain chances and humidity of 75–95 %. This range anchors trader sentiment near 30–31 °C, as the official outlook implies limited afternoon heating once convective showers develop. Recent July mean maximum temperatures of 32.4 °C at the Observatory provide seasonal context for above-average warmth, yet persistent cloud cover and thunderstorm timing introduce enough variability to keep 29 °C and 32 °C viable. Key resolution factors include peak solar insolation before any rain, steering winds, and the precise timing of convective initiation—variables that short-range models continue to refine ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$240,529Дата окончания
16 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Hong Kong Observatory guidance for July 16 forecasts a daily range of 27–31 °C under typical subtropical monsoon flow, with medium-high rain chances and humidity of 75–95 %. This range anchors trader sentiment near 30–31 °C, as the official outlook implies limited afternoon heating once convective showers develop. Recent July mean maximum temperatures of 32.4 °C at the Observatory provide seasonal context for above-average warmth, yet persistent cloud cover and thunderstorm timing introduce enough variability to keep 29 °C and 32 °C viable. Key resolution factors include peak solar insolation before any rain, steering winds, and the precise timing of convective initiation—variables that short-range models continue to refine ahead of the observation window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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