**Trader consensus centers on 29–30°C for Manila’s September 7 high, reflecting the persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) that is expected to maintain widespread cloud cover and frequent showers.** PAGASA forecasts and short-range models show highs of roughly 28–29°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with 50–100 mm of rain possible in Metro Manila, which limits solar heating and promotes evaporative cooling. Climatological September averages near 30–31°C provide the baseline, yet the active monsoon trough and associated moisture keep surface temperatures suppressed relative to clearer conditions. Model consensus favors modest afternoon peaks around 29°C, with only a narrow window for brief clearing to reach 30°C or above. Updated PAGASA guidance and next model runs through September 6 will be the key near-term inputs for any shift in implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Маниле 7 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Маниле 7 сентября?
30°C 35%
29°C 29%
28°C 18%
27°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 сент. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
3%
26°C
5%
27°C
16%
28°C
18%
29°C
29%
30°C
35%
31°C
15%
32°C
12%
33°C или выше
2%
30°C 35%
29°C 29%
28°C 18%
27°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 сент. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
$0 Объем
1%
24°C
$0 Объем
3%
25°C
$0 Объем
3%
26°C
$0 Объем
5%
27°C
$0 Объем
16%
28°C
$0 Объем
18%
29°C
$1 Объем
29%
30°C
$135 Объем
35%
31°C
$52 Объем
15%
32°C
$0 Объем
12%
33°C или выше
$0 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 29–30°C for Manila’s September 7 high, reflecting the persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) that is expected to maintain widespread cloud cover and frequent showers.** PAGASA forecasts and short-range models show highs of roughly 28–29°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with 50–100 mm of rain possible in Metro Manila, which limits solar heating and promotes evaporative cooling. Climatological September averages near 30–31°C provide the baseline, yet the active monsoon trough and associated moisture keep surface temperatures suppressed relative to clearer conditions. Model consensus favors modest afternoon peaks around 29°C, with only a narrow window for brief clearing to reach 30°C or above. Updated PAGASA guidance and next model runs through September 6 will be the key near-term inputs for any shift in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 5, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Объем
$189Дата окончания
7 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 5, 2026, 12:59 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 29–30°C for Manila’s September 7 high, reflecting the persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) that is expected to maintain widespread cloud cover and frequent showers.** PAGASA forecasts and short-range models show highs of roughly 28–29°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with 50–100 mm of rain possible in Metro Manila, which limits solar heating and promotes evaporative cooling. Climatological September averages near 30–31°C provide the baseline, yet the active monsoon trough and associated moisture keep surface temperatures suppressed relative to clearer conditions. Model consensus favors modest afternoon peaks around 29°C, with only a narrow window for brief clearing to reach 30°C or above. Updated PAGASA guidance and next model runs through September 6 will be the key near-term inputs for any shift in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$189Дата окончания
7 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 5, 2026, 12:59 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on 29–30°C for Manila’s September 7 high, reflecting the persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) that is expected to maintain widespread cloud cover and frequent showers.** PAGASA forecasts and short-range models show highs of roughly 28–29°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with 50–100 mm of rain possible in Metro Manila, which limits solar heating and promotes evaporative cooling. Climatological September averages near 30–31°C provide the baseline, yet the active monsoon trough and associated moisture keep surface temperatures suppressed relative to clearer conditions. Model consensus favors modest afternoon peaks around 29°C, with only a narrow window for brief clearing to reach 30°C or above. Updated PAGASA guidance and next model runs through September 6 will be the key near-term inputs for any shift in implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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