Recent forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS runs supports a maximum temperature of 24–25°C in Milan on September 24, driven by a stable high-pressure regime with light westerly to southwesterly winds, partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating, and seasonal solar angles typical of late September. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring those two outcomes at 41% and 33.5%, respectively, while lower odds for 26°C or higher reflect limited potential for stronger insolation or reduced cloudiness. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing creates the close contest between 24°C and 25°C, with final resolution hinging on the next 48-hour observational updates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Милане 24 сентября?
25°C 41%
26°C 35%
24°C 26%
23°C 17%
21°C или ниже
4%
22°C
14%
23°C
17%
24°C
26%
25°C
41%
26°C
35%
27°C
11%
28°C
14%
29°C
5%
30°C
4%
31°C или выше
<1%
25°C 41%
26°C 35%
24°C 26%
23°C 17%
21°C или ниже
4%
22°C
14%
23°C
17%
24°C
26%
25°C
41%
26°C
35%
27°C
11%
28°C
14%
29°C
5%
30°C
4%
31°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS runs supports a maximum temperature of 24–25°C in Milan on September 24, driven by a stable high-pressure regime with light westerly to southwesterly winds, partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating, and seasonal solar angles typical of late September. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring those two outcomes at 41% and 33.5%, respectively, while lower odds for 26°C or higher reflect limited potential for stronger insolation or reduced cloudiness. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing creates the close contest between 24°C and 25°C, with final resolution hinging on the next 48-hour observational updates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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