Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate a high temperature near 17°C in Munich on September 24, aligning with the market's leading 37% implied probability for that outcome amid tight clustering around 16–18°C. Westerly flow at 10–12 mph, increasing cloud cover, and modest boundary-layer moisture are expected to limit daytime heating relative to the late-September climatological average high of 18.4°C, while ensemble spreads in short-range forecasts introduce uncertainty between adjacent degree thresholds. Official updates from the German Weather Service and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise maximum before market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мюнхене 24 сентября?
16°C 41%
17°C 39%
18°C 22%
20°C 14%
12°C или ниже
4%
13°C
4%
14°C
13%
15°C
10%
16°C
32%
17°C
39%
18°C
22%
19°C
11%
20°C
14%
21°C
8%
22°C или выше
<1%
16°C 41%
17°C 39%
18°C 22%
20°C 14%
12°C или ниже
4%
13°C
4%
14°C
13%
15°C
10%
16°C
32%
17°C
39%
18°C
22%
19°C
11%
20°C
14%
21°C
8%
22°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate a high temperature near 17°C in Munich on September 24, aligning with the market's leading 37% implied probability for that outcome amid tight clustering around 16–18°C. Westerly flow at 10–12 mph, increasing cloud cover, and modest boundary-layer moisture are expected to limit daytime heating relative to the late-September climatological average high of 18.4°C, while ensemble spreads in short-range forecasts introduce uncertainty between adjacent degree thresholds. Official updates from the German Weather Service and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise maximum before market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы