National Weather Service forecasts and observational data confirm a daily maximum near 57°F at LaGuardia Airport on May 23, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, cool onshore Atlantic flow, and scattered showers that sharply limited solar heating. These conditions produced readings well below the late-May climatological average of about 73°F, aligning trader consensus at near-certainty on the 56-57°F outcome. Model runs showed strong agreement with minimal spread, while real-capital positioning reflects high confidence in the suppressed thermal profile. An unexpected rapid clearing or stronger southerly advection could have nudged readings into the upper 50s, though current atmospheric patterns made such shifts improbable before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in NYC on May 23?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 23?
56-57°F 100.0%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$80,156 Объем
$80,156 Объем
23 мая 2026 г.
45°F or below
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
Yes
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64°F or higher
No
56-57°F 100.0%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$80,156 Объем
$80,156 Объем
23 мая 2026 г.
45°F or below
$10,702 Объем
No
46-47°F
$1,499 Объем
No
48-49°F
$1,173 Объем
No
50-51°F
$2,720 Объем
No
52-53°F
$3,401 Объем
No
54-55°F
$9,505 Объем
No
56-57°F
$19,363 Объем
Yes
58-59°F
$9,754 Объем
No
60-61°F
$8,744 Объем
No
62-63°F
$7,000 Объем
No
64°F or higher
$6,292 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and observational data confirm a daily maximum near 57°F at LaGuardia Airport on May 23, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, cool onshore Atlantic flow, and scattered showers that sharply limited solar heating. These conditions produced readings well below the late-May climatological average of about 73°F, aligning trader consensus at near-certainty on the 56-57°F outcome. Model runs showed strong agreement with minimal spread, while real-capital positioning reflects high confidence in the suppressed thermal profile. An unexpected rapid clearing or stronger southerly advection could have nudged readings into the upper 50s, though current atmospheric patterns made such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 21, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Объем
$80,156Дата окончания
23 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 21, 2026, 6:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and observational data confirm a daily maximum near 57°F at LaGuardia Airport on May 23, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, cool onshore Atlantic flow, and scattered showers that sharply limited solar heating. These conditions produced readings well below the late-May climatological average of about 73°F, aligning trader consensus at near-certainty on the 56-57°F outcome. Model runs showed strong agreement with minimal spread, while real-capital positioning reflects high confidence in the suppressed thermal profile. An unexpected rapid clearing or stronger southerly advection could have nudged readings into the upper 50s, though current atmospheric patterns made such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$80,156Дата окончания
23 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 21, 2026, 6:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
National Weather Service forecasts and observational data confirm a daily maximum near 57°F at LaGuardia Airport on May 23, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, cool onshore Atlantic flow, and scattered showers that sharply limited solar heating. These conditions produced readings well below the late-May climatological average of about 73°F, aligning trader consensus at near-certainty on the 56-57°F outcome. Model runs showed strong agreement with minimal spread, while real-capital positioning reflects high confidence in the suppressed thermal profile. An unexpected rapid clearing or stronger southerly advection could have nudged readings into the upper 50s, though current atmospheric patterns made such shifts improbable before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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