Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a 62-63°F high temperature in New York City on May 8, anchored by official National Weather Service observations at the Central Park station (KNYC), where hourly METAR reports peaked at 62-63°F amid partly cloudy skies, northwest winds gusting to 24 mph, and persistent cool air advection from a recent frontal passage. This outcome aligns with short-range forecast model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre models, which projected limited daytime heating under stable atmospheric conditions and below-average May temperatures—typically 70-72°F historically. Final resolution awaits the NWS daily climatological report, but preliminary data shows no anomalies; challenges would require rare quality-control revisions uncovering sensor errors or unrepresentative readings, deemed negligible by traders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in NYC on May 8?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 8?
62-63°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$101,022 Объем
$101,022 Объем
8 мая 2026 г.
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
Yes
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
62-63°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$101,022 Объем
$101,022 Объем
8 мая 2026 г.
55°F or below
$3,747 Объем
No
56-57°F
$4,315 Объем
No
58-59°F
$6,069 Объем
No
60-61°F
$13,302 Объем
No
62-63°F
$21,910 Объем
Yes
64-65°F
$19,271 Объем
No
66-67°F
$10,096 Объем
No
68-69°F
$5,939 Объем
No
70-71°F
$6,882 Объем
No
72-73°F
$4,751 Объем
No
74°F or higher
$4,741 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a 62-63°F high temperature in New York City on May 8, anchored by official National Weather Service observations at the Central Park station (KNYC), where hourly METAR reports peaked at 62-63°F amid partly cloudy skies, northwest winds gusting to 24 mph, and persistent cool air advection from a recent frontal passage. This outcome aligns with short-range forecast model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre models, which projected limited daytime heating under stable atmospheric conditions and below-average May temperatures—typically 70-72°F historically. Final resolution awaits the NWS daily climatological report, but preliminary data shows no anomalies; challenges would require rare quality-control revisions uncovering sensor errors or unrepresentative readings, deemed negligible by traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 6, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Объем
$101,022Дата окончания
8 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 6, 2026, 12:15 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a 62-63°F high temperature in New York City on May 8, anchored by official National Weather Service observations at the Central Park station (KNYC), where hourly METAR reports peaked at 62-63°F amid partly cloudy skies, northwest winds gusting to 24 mph, and persistent cool air advection from a recent frontal passage. This outcome aligns with short-range forecast model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre models, which projected limited daytime heating under stable atmospheric conditions and below-average May temperatures—typically 70-72°F historically. Final resolution awaits the NWS daily climatological report, but preliminary data shows no anomalies; challenges would require rare quality-control revisions uncovering sensor errors or unrepresentative readings, deemed negligible by traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$101,022Дата окончания
8 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 6, 2026, 12:15 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a 62-63°F high temperature in New York City on May 8, anchored by official National Weather Service observations at the Central Park station (KNYC), where hourly METAR reports peaked at 62-63°F amid partly cloudy skies, northwest winds gusting to 24 mph, and persistent cool air advection from a recent frontal passage. This outcome aligns with short-range forecast model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre models, which projected limited daytime heating under stable atmospheric conditions and below-average May temperatures—typically 70-72°F historically. Final resolution awaits the NWS daily climatological report, but preliminary data shows no anomalies; challenges would require rare quality-control revisions uncovering sensor errors or unrepresentative readings, deemed negligible by traders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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