Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 20°C (32.5%) and 21°C (28.5%) as the highest temperature in Paris on April 18, mirroring the latest Météo-France and ensemble model forecasts projecting daytime maxima of 20-21°C under persistent cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. This tight clustering reflects inherent short-term uncertainty in peak heating, influenced by variable low-level cloud cover, urban heat island effects amplifying city readings by 1-2°C above rural areas, and subtle shifts in southerly airflow from a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over Western Europe that has driven a warming trend this week—from mid-teens earlier to low-20s now. Historical April averages hover near 15°C, making this above-normal but plausible; final resolution hinges on official observations from stations like Paris-Montsouris, with updates expected throughout the day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 18 апреля?
Самая высокая температура в Париже 18 апреля?
20°C 31%
21°C 30%
19°C 17%
22°C 17%
$38,169 Объем
$38,169 Объем
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
17%
20°C
31%
21°C
30%
22°C
17%
23°C or higher
4%
20°C 31%
21°C 30%
19°C 17%
22°C 17%
$38,169 Объем
$38,169 Объем
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
17%
20°C
31%
21°C
30%
22°C
17%
23°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 16, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 20°C (32.5%) and 21°C (28.5%) as the highest temperature in Paris on April 18, mirroring the latest Météo-France and ensemble model forecasts projecting daytime maxima of 20-21°C under persistent cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. This tight clustering reflects inherent short-term uncertainty in peak heating, influenced by variable low-level cloud cover, urban heat island effects amplifying city readings by 1-2°C above rural areas, and subtle shifts in southerly airflow from a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over Western Europe that has driven a warming trend this week—from mid-teens earlier to low-20s now. Historical April averages hover near 15°C, making this above-normal but plausible; final resolution hinges on official observations from stations like Paris-Montsouris, with updates expected throughout the day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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