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Самая высокая температура в Париже 18 апреля?

Market icon

Самая высокая температура в Париже 18 апреля?

20°C 31%

21°C 30%

19°C 17%

22°C 17%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$38,169 Объем

20°C 31%

21°C 30%

19°C 17%

22°C 17%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$38,169 Объем

13°C or below

$8,784 Объем

<1%

14°C

$7,135 Объем

<1%

15°C

$1,753 Объем

<1%

16°C

$1,844 Объем

<1%

17°C

$4,533 Объем

1%

18°C

$3,127 Объем

3%

19°C

$2,098 Объем

17%

20°C

$1,441 Объем

31%

21°C

$1,820 Объем

30%

22°C

$2,025 Объем

17%

23°C or higher

$3,626 Объем

4%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 20°C (32.5%) and 21°C (28.5%) as the highest temperature in Paris on April 18, mirroring the latest Météo-France and ensemble model forecasts projecting daytime maxima of 20-21°C under persistent cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. This tight clustering reflects inherent short-term uncertainty in peak heating, influenced by variable low-level cloud cover, urban heat island effects amplifying city readings by 1-2°C above rural areas, and subtle shifts in southerly airflow from a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over Western Europe that has driven a warming trend this week—from mid-teens earlier to low-20s now. Historical April averages hover near 15°C, making this above-normal but plausible; final resolution hinges on official observations from stations like Paris-Montsouris, with updates expected throughout the day.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$38,169
Дата окончания
18 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 12:40 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 20°C (32.5%) and 21°C (28.5%) as the highest temperature in Paris on April 18, mirroring the latest Météo-France and ensemble model forecasts projecting daytime maxima of 20-21°C under persistent cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. This tight clustering reflects inherent short-term uncertainty in peak heating, influenced by variable low-level cloud cover, urban heat island effects amplifying city readings by 1-2°C above rural areas, and subtle shifts in southerly airflow from a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over Western Europe that has driven a warming trend this week—from mid-teens earlier to low-20s now. Historical April averages hover near 15°C, making this above-normal but plausible; final resolution hinges on official observations from stations like Paris-Montsouris, with updates expected throughout the day.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$38,169
Дата окончания
18 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 12:40 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Париже 18 апреля?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «20°C» с 31%, за ним следует «21°C» с 30%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 31¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 31%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Самая высокая температура в Париже 18 апреля?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $38.2K с момента запуска рынка Apr 16, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Париже 18 апреля?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Париже 18 апреля?» — «20°C» с 31%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 31%. Следующий ближайший исход — «21°C» с 30%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Париже 18 апреля?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.