Recent Météo-France forecasts and supporting model consensus project a peak daytime high near 36°C in Paris on June 18 under building high-pressure conditions and southerly flow that advects warmer air into the region, with clear skies and light winds limiting mixing and enhancing surface heating. This heatwave setup—unusual for mid-June—has concentrated trader attention on the 35–37°C band, where small differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind direction, or urban heat-island effects could shift the official maximum by 1 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest but allow for slight downward revision if cloud cover increases or for an upside surprise if insolation exceeds expectations, keeping implied probabilities closely bunched rather than heavily skewed.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Paris on June 18?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 18?
36°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$133,073 Объем
$133,073 Объем
18 июн. 2026 г.
32°C or below
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$133,073 Объем
$133,073 Объем
18 июн. 2026 г.
32°C or below
$5,278 Объем
No
33°C
$5,913 Объем
No
34°C
$15,001 Объем
No
35°C
$27,866 Объем
No
36°C
$22,637 Объем
Yes
37°C
$24,783 Объем
No
38°C
$21,197 Объем
No
39°C
$7,521 Объем
No
40°C
$1,585 Объем
No
41°C
$542 Объем
No
42°C or higher
$748 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France forecasts and supporting model consensus project a peak daytime high near 36°C in Paris on June 18 under building high-pressure conditions and southerly flow that advects warmer air into the region, with clear skies and light winds limiting mixing and enhancing surface heating. This heatwave setup—unusual for mid-June—has concentrated trader attention on the 35–37°C band, where small differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind direction, or urban heat-island effects could shift the official maximum by 1 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest but allow for slight downward revision if cloud cover increases or for an upside surprise if insolation exceeds expectations, keeping implied probabilities closely bunched rather than heavily skewed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 16, 2026, 1:18 AM ET
Объем
$133,073Дата окончания
18 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 16, 2026, 1:18 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France forecasts and supporting model consensus project a peak daytime high near 36°C in Paris on June 18 under building high-pressure conditions and southerly flow that advects warmer air into the region, with clear skies and light winds limiting mixing and enhancing surface heating. This heatwave setup—unusual for mid-June—has concentrated trader attention on the 35–37°C band, where small differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind direction, or urban heat-island effects could shift the official maximum by 1 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest but allow for slight downward revision if cloud cover increases or for an upside surprise if insolation exceeds expectations, keeping implied probabilities closely bunched rather than heavily skewed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$133,073Дата окончания
18 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 16, 2026, 1:18 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Recent Météo-France forecasts and supporting model consensus project a peak daytime high near 36°C in Paris on June 18 under building high-pressure conditions and southerly flow that advects warmer air into the region, with clear skies and light winds limiting mixing and enhancing surface heating. This heatwave setup—unusual for mid-June—has concentrated trader attention on the 35–37°C band, where small differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind direction, or urban heat-island effects could shift the official maximum by 1 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest but allow for slight downward revision if cloud cover increases or for an upside surprise if insolation exceeds expectations, keeping implied probabilities closely bunched rather than heavily skewed.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы