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Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 17?

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Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 17?

апр. 15

апр. 16

апр. 17

апр. 18

апр. 15

апр. 16

апр. 17

апр. 18

68-69°F 40%

66-67°F 25%

70-71°F 19%

64-65°F 15%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$19,842 Объем

68-69°F 40%

66-67°F 25%

70-71°F 19%

64-65°F 15%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$19,842 Объем

57°F or below

$1,767 Объем

1%

58-59°F

$2,210 Объем

<1%

60-61°F

$3,441 Объем

1%

62-63°F

$1,214 Объем

4%

64-65°F

$1,045 Объем

15%

66-67°F

$1,032 Объем

25%

68-69°F

$2,697 Объем

40%

70-71°F

$1,590 Объем

19%

72-73°F

$1,339 Объем

2%

74-75°F

$1,474 Объем

1%

76°F or higher

$2,032 Объем

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 68-69°F (38.5% implied probability) at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) on April 17, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecast and GFS/ECMWF model consensus projecting 67-69°F under partly sunny skies with northwest winds 10-20 mph. Persistent marine air advection from the cool California Current, enhanced by coastal upwelling, caps warming typical for April's climatology (historical average high ~64°F), though a weak high-pressure ridge inland allows slight above-normal potential. Recent 00z model runs nudged probabilities upward from 66-67°F after yesterday's stable guidance amid ongoing small craft advisories signaling breezy marine influence. Key uncertainty lies in marine layer burn-off timing; full clearing could push toward 70°F, while stubborn stratus favors lower bins. NWS updates at 11 AM and 5 PM PDT today may refine odds ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$19,842
Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 68-69°F (38.5% implied probability) at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) on April 17, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecast and GFS/ECMWF model consensus projecting 67-69°F under partly sunny skies with northwest winds 10-20 mph. Persistent marine air advection from the cool California Current, enhanced by coastal upwelling, caps warming typical for April's climatology (historical average high ~64°F), though a weak high-pressure ridge inland allows slight above-normal potential. Recent 00z model runs nudged probabilities upward from 66-67°F after yesterday's stable guidance amid ongoing small craft advisories signaling breezy marine influence. Key uncertainty lies in marine layer burn-off timing; full clearing could push toward 70°F, while stubborn stratus favors lower bins. NWS updates at 11 AM and 5 PM PDT today may refine odds ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$19,842
Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 17?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «68-69°F» с 40%, за ним следует «66-67°F» с 25%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 40¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 40%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 17?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $19.8K с момента запуска рынка Apr 15, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 17?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 17?» — «68-69°F» с 40%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 40%. Следующий ближайший исход — «66-67°F» с 25%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 17?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.