**Trader sentiment for São Paulo’s July 14 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 17–19°C because ensemble guidance from INMET, ECMWF, and GFS places the most likely afternoon peak near the lower end of the July climatological range of roughly 22°C.** Recent early-July warm spells that produced 24–27°C have given way to cooler subtropical high pressure and drier air, reducing insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Small differences among the leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as cloud-cover timing, which modulates daytime heating, and any subtle southerly flow that could limit the high by a degree or two. Light winds and clear-to-partly-cloudy conditions expected under the current regime keep the spread narrow, with traders weighting the 18°C bin highest while acknowledging that last-minute model shifts in surface energy balance or frontal timing could easily move the verified INMET observation within the 17–19°C band.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 14 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 14 июля?
19°C 100%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$49,963 Объем
$49,963 Объем
14 июл. 2026 г.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
19°C 100%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$49,963 Объем
$49,963 Объем
14 июл. 2026 г.
12°C or below
$6,107 Объем
No
13°C
$1,370 Объем
No
14°C
$3,206 Объем
No
15°C
$3,143 Объем
No
16°C
$5,277 Объем
No
17°C
$4,360 Объем
No
18°C
$10,116 Объем
No
19°C
$9,111 Объем
Yes
20°C
$3,141 Объем
No
21°C
$2,741 Объем
No
22°C or higher
$1,391 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for São Paulo’s July 14 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 17–19°C because ensemble guidance from INMET, ECMWF, and GFS places the most likely afternoon peak near the lower end of the July climatological range of roughly 22°C.** Recent early-July warm spells that produced 24–27°C have given way to cooler subtropical high pressure and drier air, reducing insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Small differences among the leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as cloud-cover timing, which modulates daytime heating, and any subtle southerly flow that could limit the high by a degree or two. Light winds and clear-to-partly-cloudy conditions expected under the current regime keep the spread narrow, with traders weighting the 18°C bin highest while acknowledging that last-minute model shifts in surface energy balance or frontal timing could easily move the verified INMET observation within the 17–19°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 12, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Объем
$49,963Дата окончания
14 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 12, 2026, 9:01 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRКто определяет исход
0x69c47de9d...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for São Paulo’s July 14 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 17–19°C because ensemble guidance from INMET, ECMWF, and GFS places the most likely afternoon peak near the lower end of the July climatological range of roughly 22°C.** Recent early-July warm spells that produced 24–27°C have given way to cooler subtropical high pressure and drier air, reducing insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Small differences among the leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as cloud-cover timing, which modulates daytime heating, and any subtle southerly flow that could limit the high by a degree or two. Light winds and clear-to-partly-cloudy conditions expected under the current regime keep the spread narrow, with traders weighting the 18°C bin highest while acknowledging that last-minute model shifts in surface energy balance or frontal timing could easily move the verified INMET observation within the 17–19°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$49,963Дата окончания
14 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 12, 2026, 9:01 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRКто определяет исход
0x69c47de9d...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
**Trader sentiment for São Paulo’s July 14 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 17–19°C because ensemble guidance from INMET, ECMWF, and GFS places the most likely afternoon peak near the lower end of the July climatological range of roughly 22°C.** Recent early-July warm spells that produced 24–27°C have given way to cooler subtropical high pressure and drier air, reducing insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Small differences among the leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as cloud-cover timing, which modulates daytime heating, and any subtle southerly flow that could limit the high by a degree or two. Light winds and clear-to-partly-cloudy conditions expected under the current regime keep the spread narrow, with traders weighting the 18°C bin highest while acknowledging that last-minute model shifts in surface energy balance or frontal timing could easily move the verified INMET observation within the 17–19°C band.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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