Skip to main content
Market icon

Highest temperature in Seattle on April 18?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Seattle on April 18?

50°F or higher 99.0%

42-43°F <1%

31°F or below <1%

40-41°F <1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$12,102 Объем

50°F or higher 99.0%

42-43°F <1%

31°F or below <1%

40-41°F <1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$12,102 Объем

31°F or below

$530 Объем

<1%

32-33°F

$492 Объем

<1%

34-35°F

$502 Объем

<1%

36-37°F

$570 Объем

<1%

38-39°F

$1,353 Объем

<1%

40-41°F

$662 Объем

<1%

42-43°F

$665 Объем

<1%

44-45°F

$656 Объем

<1%

46-47°F

$645 Объем

<1%

48-49°F

$817 Объем

<1%

50°F or higher

$5,254 Объем

99%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and major model ensembles, including the GFS and ECMWF, project Seattle's highest temperature on April 18 well above 50°F, with consensus highs of 54-59°F amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Pacific Northwest fostering mild, stable conditions. This aligns with recent observational trends—early April's first 70°F day followed by consistent 50s highs—and Seattle's April climatological normal of 57°F, where sub-50°F days occur less than 10% historically. Trader consensus at 99.1% for 50°F or higher reflects this robust agreement backed by low precipitation odds (under 30%) and light winds. Realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of cool marine air or stalled frontal boundary, though current upper-air patterns make this improbable; monitor NWS updates Friday for refinements.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$12,102
Дата окончания
18 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 12:40 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and major model ensembles, including the GFS and ECMWF, project Seattle's highest temperature on April 18 well above 50°F, with consensus highs of 54-59°F amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Pacific Northwest fostering mild, stable conditions. This aligns with recent observational trends—early April's first 70°F day followed by consistent 50s highs—and Seattle's April climatological normal of 57°F, where sub-50°F days occur less than 10% historically. Trader consensus at 99.1% for 50°F or higher reflects this robust agreement backed by low precipitation odds (under 30%) and light winds. Realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of cool marine air or stalled frontal boundary, though current upper-air patterns make this improbable; monitor NWS updates Friday for refinements.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$12,102
Дата окончания
18 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 12:40 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Seattle on April 18?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «50°F or higher» с 99%, за ним следует «31°F or below» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 99¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 99%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Highest temperature in Seattle on April 18?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $12.1K с момента запуска рынка Apr 16, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Seattle on April 18?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Seattle on April 18?» — «50°F or higher» с 99%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 99%. Следующий ближайший исход — «31°F or below» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Seattle on April 18?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.