Trader sentiment for Seattle’s July 16 high temperature centers on National Weather Service guidance under rebuilding high pressure aloft that favors subsidence warming but is tempered by marine influence from Puget Sound and possible residual onshore flow. This setup produces ensemble clusters centered in the upper 60s to low 70s, aligning with the tight market spread between the 66–69°F bins (combined ~38.5% implied probability) and nearby outcomes. Model runs show modest spread on peak heating, with drier conditions limiting cloud cover but coastal moderation capping extremes relative to historical July averages near 75°F. Key near-term catalysts include updated NWS forecast discussions and any shifts in steering patterns that could allow greater inland heating or enhanced marine-layer cooling.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сиэтле 16 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Сиэтле 16 июля?
64-65°F 100%
61°F or below <1%
62-63°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$115,315 Объем
$115,315 Объем
16 июл. 2026 г.
61°F or below
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
Yes
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80°F или выше
Нет
64-65°F 100%
61°F or below <1%
62-63°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$115,315 Объем
$115,315 Объем
16 июл. 2026 г.
61°F or below
$4,103 Объем
No
62-63°F
$33,534 Объем
No
64-65°F
$12,593 Объем
Yes
66-67°F
$10,603 Объем
No
68-69°F
$7,600 Объем
No
70-71°F
$7,193 Объем
No
72-73°F
$6,991 Объем
No
74-75°F
$9,175 Объем
No
76-77°F
$6,980 Объем
No
78-79°F
$6,688 Объем
No
80°F или выше
$9,855 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Seattle’s July 16 high temperature centers on National Weather Service guidance under rebuilding high pressure aloft that favors subsidence warming but is tempered by marine influence from Puget Sound and possible residual onshore flow. This setup produces ensemble clusters centered in the upper 60s to low 70s, aligning with the tight market spread between the 66–69°F bins (combined ~38.5% implied probability) and nearby outcomes. Model runs show modest spread on peak heating, with drier conditions limiting cloud cover but coastal moderation capping extremes relative to historical July averages near 75°F. Key near-term catalysts include updated NWS forecast discussions and any shifts in steering patterns that could allow greater inland heating or enhanced marine-layer cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Объем
$115,315Дата окончания
16 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Seattle’s July 16 high temperature centers on National Weather Service guidance under rebuilding high pressure aloft that favors subsidence warming but is tempered by marine influence from Puget Sound and possible residual onshore flow. This setup produces ensemble clusters centered in the upper 60s to low 70s, aligning with the tight market spread between the 66–69°F bins (combined ~38.5% implied probability) and nearby outcomes. Model runs show modest spread on peak heating, with drier conditions limiting cloud cover but coastal moderation capping extremes relative to historical July averages near 75°F. Key near-term catalysts include updated NWS forecast discussions and any shifts in steering patterns that could allow greater inland heating or enhanced marine-layer cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$115,315Дата окончания
16 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader sentiment for Seattle’s July 16 high temperature centers on National Weather Service guidance under rebuilding high pressure aloft that favors subsidence warming but is tempered by marine influence from Puget Sound and possible residual onshore flow. This setup produces ensemble clusters centered in the upper 60s to low 70s, aligning with the tight market spread between the 66–69°F bins (combined ~38.5% implied probability) and nearby outcomes. Model runs show modest spread on peak heating, with drier conditions limiting cloud cover but coastal moderation capping extremes relative to historical July averages near 75°F. Key near-term catalysts include updated NWS forecast discussions and any shifts in steering patterns that could allow greater inland heating or enhanced marine-layer cooling.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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