Current forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a maximum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 7 most likely between 30–32 °C, with 32 °C holding a modest edge in market-implied odds. Westerly sea breezes from the Mediterranean typically moderate afternoon peaks in this coastal location, while clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds allow strong solar insolation to drive daytime warming. Historical September baselines average near 30–31 °C, but small differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, or urban heat retention can shift the daily high by 1 °C. With multiple model runs clustered tightly around the 32–33 °C threshold and no major synoptic changes expected before resolution, trader sentiment reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise peak value rather than a strong directional signal.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 7 сентября?
32°C 54%
33°C 47%
31°C <1%
29°C или ниже <1%
29°C или ниже
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
54%
33°C
47%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C или выше
<1%
32°C 54%
33°C 47%
31°C <1%
29°C или ниже <1%
29°C или ниже
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
54%
33°C
47%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a maximum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 7 most likely between 30–32 °C, with 32 °C holding a modest edge in market-implied odds. Westerly sea breezes from the Mediterranean typically moderate afternoon peaks in this coastal location, while clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds allow strong solar insolation to drive daytime warming. Historical September baselines average near 30–31 °C, but small differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, or urban heat retention can shift the daily high by 1 °C. With multiple model runs clustered tightly around the 32–33 °C threshold and no major synoptic changes expected before resolution, trader sentiment reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise peak value rather than a strong directional signal.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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