Recent MetService and numerical weather model guidance for Wellington points to a daytime maximum near 10°C on August 18 amid persistent southerly flow and cool maritime air, keeping values below the long-term August average of roughly 12°C. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA emphasize near-average temperatures as most probable for the region, yet short-term forecasts highlight limited warming potential through the 48-hour window before resolution. This scientific consensus underpins the market’s strong weighting toward 11°C and 12°C outcomes, with traders incorporating typical winter variability and model spread that could still allow a brief rise to 12°C if winds moderate. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next day remain the key catalysts likely to refine these implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 18 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 18 августа?
11°C 52%
12°C 36%
10°C 10%
9°C 3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 авг. 2026 г.
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
3%
10°C
10%
11°C
52%
12°C
36%
13°C
3%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
11°C 52%
12°C 36%
10°C 10%
9°C 3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 авг. 2026 г.
6°C or below
$314 Объем
<1%
7°C
$483 Объем
1%
8°C
$375 Объем
1%
9°C
$335 Объем
3%
10°C
$507 Объем
10%
11°C
$1,755 Объем
52%
12°C
$3,798 Объем
36%
13°C
$465 Объем
3%
14°C
$369 Объем
1%
15°C
$309 Объем
<1%
16°C or higher
$299 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and numerical weather model guidance for Wellington points to a daytime maximum near 10°C on August 18 amid persistent southerly flow and cool maritime air, keeping values below the long-term August average of roughly 12°C. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA emphasize near-average temperatures as most probable for the region, yet short-term forecasts highlight limited warming potential through the 48-hour window before resolution. This scientific consensus underpins the market’s strong weighting toward 11°C and 12°C outcomes, with traders incorporating typical winter variability and model spread that could still allow a brief rise to 12°C if winds moderate. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next day remain the key catalysts likely to refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$9,010Дата окончания
18 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and numerical weather model guidance for Wellington points to a daytime maximum near 10°C on August 18 amid persistent southerly flow and cool maritime air, keeping values below the long-term August average of roughly 12°C. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA emphasize near-average temperatures as most probable for the region, yet short-term forecasts highlight limited warming potential through the 48-hour window before resolution. This scientific consensus underpins the market’s strong weighting toward 11°C and 12°C outcomes, with traders incorporating typical winter variability and model spread that could still allow a brief rise to 12°C if winds moderate. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next day remain the key catalysts likely to refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$9,010Дата окончания
18 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent MetService and numerical weather model guidance for Wellington points to a daytime maximum near 10°C on August 18 amid persistent southerly flow and cool maritime air, keeping values below the long-term August average of roughly 12°C. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA emphasize near-average temperatures as most probable for the region, yet short-term forecasts highlight limited warming potential through the 48-hour window before resolution. This scientific consensus underpins the market’s strong weighting toward 11°C and 12°C outcomes, with traders incorporating typical winter variability and model spread that could still allow a brief rise to 12°C if winds moderate. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next day remain the key catalysts likely to refine these implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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