Republican Andy Barr holds a commanding lead in the Kentucky Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests, his decisive primary victory with Donald Trump's endorsement, and superior fundraising and organizational resources compared to Democrat Charles Booker. Multiple forecasters rate the contest as safe or solid Republican following primaries in May that produced these nominees for the open seat vacated by Mitch McConnell. Recent polling shows Barr ahead by roughly 9-10 points among likely voters. Trader consensus in prediction markets aligns with these fundamentals and historical base rates for the state. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, sharp shifts in national conditions, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such changes unlikely before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Кентукки
Победитель выборов в Сенат Кентукки
$34,436 Объем
$34,436 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Энди Барр (Р)
96%
Чарльз Букер (Д)
3%
$34,436 Объем
$34,436 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Энди Барр (Р)
$26,982 Объем
96%
Чарльз Букер (Д)
$7,454 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican Andy Barr holds a commanding lead in the Kentucky Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests, his decisive primary victory with Donald Trump's endorsement, and superior fundraising and organizational resources compared to Democrat Charles Booker. Multiple forecasters rate the contest as safe or solid Republican following primaries in May that produced these nominees for the open seat vacated by Mitch McConnell. Recent polling shows Barr ahead by roughly 9-10 points among likely voters. Trader consensus in prediction markets aligns with these fundamentals and historical base rates for the state. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, sharp shifts in national conditions, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such changes unlikely before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Объем
$34,436Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican Andy Barr holds a commanding lead in the Kentucky Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests, his decisive primary victory with Donald Trump's endorsement, and superior fundraising and organizational resources compared to Democrat Charles Booker. Multiple forecasters rate the contest as safe or solid Republican following primaries in May that produced these nominees for the open seat vacated by Mitch McConnell. Recent polling shows Barr ahead by roughly 9-10 points among likely voters. Trader consensus in prediction markets aligns with these fundamentals and historical base rates for the state. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, sharp shifts in national conditions, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such changes unlikely before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$34,436Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Andy Barr holds a commanding lead in the Kentucky Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests, his decisive primary victory with Donald Trump's endorsement, and superior fundraising and organizational resources compared to Democrat Charles Booker. Multiple forecasters rate the contest as safe or solid Republican following primaries in May that produced these nominees for the open seat vacated by Mitch McConnell. Recent polling shows Barr ahead by roughly 9-10 points among likely voters. Trader consensus in prediction markets aligns with these fundamentals and historical base rates for the state. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, sharp shifts in national conditions, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such changes unlikely before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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