Tennessee's solidly Republican electorate and one-term incumbent Bill Hagerty's unopposed August 6 primary victory underpin the market's strong Republican consensus. Hagerty won his 2020 seat by double digits in a state that has not elected a Democratic senator since 1990, and he faces a rematch against 2020 nominee Marquita Bradshaw, who prevailed in the Democratic primary. Traders price in the structural advantages of incumbency, favorable partisan composition, and limited recent polling shifts that would signal a competitive race. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national political realignment could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability given the state's consistent voting patterns and the absence of competitive Republican opposition.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат штата Теннесси
Победитель выборов в Сенат штата Теннесси
$24,668 Объем
$24,668 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканец
96%
Демократ
2%
$24,668 Объем
$24,668 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканец
$14,806 Объем
96%
Демократ
$9,861 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's solidly Republican electorate and one-term incumbent Bill Hagerty's unopposed August 6 primary victory underpin the market's strong Republican consensus. Hagerty won his 2020 seat by double digits in a state that has not elected a Democratic senator since 1990, and he faces a rematch against 2020 nominee Marquita Bradshaw, who prevailed in the Democratic primary. Traders price in the structural advantages of incumbency, favorable partisan composition, and limited recent polling shifts that would signal a competitive race. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national political realignment could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability given the state's consistent voting patterns and the absence of competitive Republican opposition.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Объем
$24,668Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's solidly Republican electorate and one-term incumbent Bill Hagerty's unopposed August 6 primary victory underpin the market's strong Republican consensus. Hagerty won his 2020 seat by double digits in a state that has not elected a Democratic senator since 1990, and he faces a rematch against 2020 nominee Marquita Bradshaw, who prevailed in the Democratic primary. Traders price in the structural advantages of incumbency, favorable partisan composition, and limited recent polling shifts that would signal a competitive race. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national political realignment could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability given the state's consistent voting patterns and the absence of competitive Republican opposition.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$24,668Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's solidly Republican electorate and one-term incumbent Bill Hagerty's unopposed August 6 primary victory underpin the market's strong Republican consensus. Hagerty won his 2020 seat by double digits in a state that has not elected a Democratic senator since 1990, and he faces a rematch against 2020 nominee Marquita Bradshaw, who prevailed in the Democratic primary. Traders price in the structural advantages of incumbency, favorable partisan composition, and limited recent polling shifts that would signal a competitive race. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national political realignment could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability given the state's consistent voting patterns and the absence of competitive Republican opposition.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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