Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 25 likely falling between 8–11°C under partly clear skies and light southerly flow, consistent with the climatological average low of 10.1°C for the date. High-pressure influence and limited cloud cover overnight support radiative cooling but without the cold advection needed for sharper drops, keeping probabilities elevated for bins near 9°C and 10°C while the 15°C-or-higher outcome reflects residual uncertainty in model spread and potential warming. Historical analogs show September minima occasionally reaching 5–6°C under northerly outbreaks, yet current steering patterns favor milder conditions, with updated guidance expected from the next ECMWF cycle.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Амстердаме 25 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Амстердаме 25 сентября?
15°C или выше 90%
5°C или ниже 45%
7°C 40%
8°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 сент. 2026 г.
5°C или ниже
45%
6°C
39%
7°C
40%
8°C
40%
9°C
30%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C или выше
90%
15°C или выше 90%
5°C или ниже 45%
7°C 40%
8°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 сент. 2026 г.
5°C или ниже
$0 Объем
45%
6°C
$0 Объем
39%
7°C
$0 Объем
40%
8°C
$0 Объем
40%
9°C
$0 Объем
30%
10°C
$0 Объем
39%
11°C
$0 Объем
39%
12°C
$0 Объем
39%
13°C
$0 Объем
39%
14°C
$0 Объем
39%
15°C или выше
$0 Объем
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 25 likely falling between 8–11°C under partly clear skies and light southerly flow, consistent with the climatological average low of 10.1°C for the date. High-pressure influence and limited cloud cover overnight support radiative cooling but without the cold advection needed for sharper drops, keeping probabilities elevated for bins near 9°C and 10°C while the 15°C-or-higher outcome reflects residual uncertainty in model spread and potential warming. Historical analogs show September minima occasionally reaching 5–6°C under northerly outbreaks, yet current steering patterns favor milder conditions, with updated guidance expected from the next ECMWF cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
25 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 25 likely falling between 8–11°C under partly clear skies and light southerly flow, consistent with the climatological average low of 10.1°C for the date. High-pressure influence and limited cloud cover overnight support radiative cooling but without the cold advection needed for sharper drops, keeping probabilities elevated for bins near 9°C and 10°C while the 15°C-or-higher outcome reflects residual uncertainty in model spread and potential warming. Historical analogs show September minima occasionally reaching 5–6°C under northerly outbreaks, yet current steering patterns favor milder conditions, with updated guidance expected from the next ECMWF cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
25 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 25 likely falling between 8–11°C under partly clear skies and light southerly flow, consistent with the climatological average low of 10.1°C for the date. High-pressure influence and limited cloud cover overnight support radiative cooling but without the cold advection needed for sharper drops, keeping probabilities elevated for bins near 9°C and 10°C while the 15°C-or-higher outcome reflects residual uncertainty in model spread and potential warming. Historical analogs show September minima occasionally reaching 5–6°C under northerly outbreaks, yet current steering patterns favor milder conditions, with updated guidance expected from the next ECMWF cycle.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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