Traders see near-even odds around 10–14°C for Ankara’s lowest temperature on September 21 because ensemble forecasts show substantial spread in nighttime radiative cooling under variable high pressure. Clear skies and light winds favor stronger surface cooling toward the lower end of that range, while increased cloud cover or a modest southerly flow could limit the drop to near 14°C. Regional models differ on the timing and strength of a weak frontal passage, which would mix warmer air aloft and raise minimums. Historical September climatology for the Anatolian plateau places typical overnight lows near 12–13°C, underscoring why small forecast adjustments in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed keep implied probabilities tightly clustered rather than favoring any single outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Анкаре 21 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Анкаре 21 сентября?
10°C или ниже 100%
11°C 90%
14°C 51%
13°C 50%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 сент. 2026 г.
10°C или ниже
100%
11°C
90%
12°C
45%
13°C
50%
14°C
51%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C или выше
<1%
10°C или ниже 100%
11°C 90%
14°C 51%
13°C 50%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 сент. 2026 г.
10°C или ниже
$0 Объем
100%
11°C
$0 Объем
90%
12°C
$15 Объем
45%
13°C
$0 Объем
50%
14°C
$0 Объем
51%
15°C
$15 Объем
<1%
16°C
$15 Объем
<1%
17°C
$15 Объем
<1%
18°C
$15 Объем
<1%
19°C
$565 Объем
<1%
20°C или выше
$1,189 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see near-even odds around 10–14°C for Ankara’s lowest temperature on September 21 because ensemble forecasts show substantial spread in nighttime radiative cooling under variable high pressure. Clear skies and light winds favor stronger surface cooling toward the lower end of that range, while increased cloud cover or a modest southerly flow could limit the drop to near 14°C. Regional models differ on the timing and strength of a weak frontal passage, which would mix warmer air aloft and raise minimums. Historical September climatology for the Anatolian plateau places typical overnight lows near 12–13°C, underscoring why small forecast adjustments in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed keep implied probabilities tightly clustered rather than favoring any single outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$1,829Дата окончания
21 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see near-even odds around 10–14°C for Ankara’s lowest temperature on September 21 because ensemble forecasts show substantial spread in nighttime radiative cooling under variable high pressure. Clear skies and light winds favor stronger surface cooling toward the lower end of that range, while increased cloud cover or a modest southerly flow could limit the drop to near 14°C. Regional models differ on the timing and strength of a weak frontal passage, which would mix warmer air aloft and raise minimums. Historical September climatology for the Anatolian plateau places typical overnight lows near 12–13°C, underscoring why small forecast adjustments in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed keep implied probabilities tightly clustered rather than favoring any single outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,829Дата окончания
21 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Traders see near-even odds around 10–14°C for Ankara’s lowest temperature on September 21 because ensemble forecasts show substantial spread in nighttime radiative cooling under variable high pressure. Clear skies and light winds favor stronger surface cooling toward the lower end of that range, while increased cloud cover or a modest southerly flow could limit the drop to near 14°C. Regional models differ on the timing and strength of a weak frontal passage, which would mix warmer air aloft and raise minimums. Historical September climatology for the Anatolian plateau places typical overnight lows near 12–13°C, underscoring why small forecast adjustments in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed keep implied probabilities tightly clustered rather than favoring any single outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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