Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a nighttime low near 16–18 °C for Cape Town on September 24, driven by moderate southwesterly flow under a building high-pressure ridge and limited nocturnal radiative cooling from partial cloud cover. This places the outcome near the middle of the distribution, where small shifts in wind direction, boundary-layer moisture, or timing of any frontal passage can alter the minimum by 2–3 °C. Historical September averages near 10 °C underscore the current mild anomaly, yet model spread and the short forecast horizon sustain roughly equal market-implied probabilities for extremes above 20 °C or below 10 °C. Updated runs expected within the next 24 hours will tighten the range ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Кейптауне 24 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Кейптауне 24 сентября?
10°C или ниже 92%
20°C или выше 88%
15°C 40%
11°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 сент. 2026 г.
10°C или ниже
92%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
40%
16°C
31%
17°C
20%
18°C
39%
19°C
8%
20°C или выше
88%
10°C или ниже 92%
20°C или выше 88%
15°C 40%
11°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 сент. 2026 г.
10°C или ниже
$0 Объем
92%
11°C
$0 Объем
39%
12°C
$0 Объем
39%
13°C
$0 Объем
39%
14°C
$0 Объем
39%
15°C
$0 Объем
40%
16°C
$0 Объем
31%
17°C
$0 Объем
20%
18°C
$0 Объем
39%
19°C
$0 Объем
8%
20°C или выше
$0 Объем
88%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a nighttime low near 16–18 °C for Cape Town on September 24, driven by moderate southwesterly flow under a building high-pressure ridge and limited nocturnal radiative cooling from partial cloud cover. This places the outcome near the middle of the distribution, where small shifts in wind direction, boundary-layer moisture, or timing of any frontal passage can alter the minimum by 2–3 °C. Historical September averages near 10 °C underscore the current mild anomaly, yet model spread and the short forecast horizon sustain roughly equal market-implied probabilities for extremes above 20 °C or below 10 °C. Updated runs expected within the next 24 hours will tighten the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
24 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a nighttime low near 16–18 °C for Cape Town on September 24, driven by moderate southwesterly flow under a building high-pressure ridge and limited nocturnal radiative cooling from partial cloud cover. This places the outcome near the middle of the distribution, where small shifts in wind direction, boundary-layer moisture, or timing of any frontal passage can alter the minimum by 2–3 °C. Historical September averages near 10 °C underscore the current mild anomaly, yet model spread and the short forecast horizon sustain roughly equal market-implied probabilities for extremes above 20 °C or below 10 °C. Updated runs expected within the next 24 hours will tighten the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
24 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a nighttime low near 16–18 °C for Cape Town on September 24, driven by moderate southwesterly flow under a building high-pressure ridge and limited nocturnal radiative cooling from partial cloud cover. This places the outcome near the middle of the distribution, where small shifts in wind direction, boundary-layer moisture, or timing of any frontal passage can alter the minimum by 2–3 °C. Historical September averages near 10 °C underscore the current mild anomaly, yet model spread and the short forecast horizon sustain roughly equal market-implied probabilities for extremes above 20 °C or below 10 °C. Updated runs expected within the next 24 hours will tighten the range ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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