Recent forecast models for Chengdu show overnight lows near 20–21°C on September 22 amid expected showers and persistent cloud cover, narrowing the diurnal temperature range through reduced radiational cooling. Sichuan basin humidity and light winds further stabilize temperatures, limiting drops below 18°C while keeping highs near 26°C. Divergent ensemble outputs create the tight market split, with the 43% probability on 15°C or below reflecting downside rain-cooling risks and the 39% on 25°C or higher capturing any drier-model scenarios. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and next model runs will likely resolve the narrow band around 20–21°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Чэнду 22 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Чэнду 22 сентября?
25°C или выше 84%
15°C или ниже 81%
21°C 53%
16°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
22 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
81%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
38%
19°C
39%
20°C
29%
21°C
41%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C или выше
84%
25°C или выше 84%
15°C или ниже 81%
21°C 53%
16°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
22 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
$0 Объем
81%
16°C
$0 Объем
39%
17°C
$0 Объем
39%
18°C
$0 Объем
38%
19°C
$0 Объем
39%
20°C
$0 Объем
29%
21°C
$95 Объем
41%
22°C
$0 Объем
39%
23°C
$0 Объем
39%
24°C
$0 Объем
39%
25°C или выше
$0 Объем
84%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Chengdu show overnight lows near 20–21°C on September 22 amid expected showers and persistent cloud cover, narrowing the diurnal temperature range through reduced radiational cooling. Sichuan basin humidity and light winds further stabilize temperatures, limiting drops below 18°C while keeping highs near 26°C. Divergent ensemble outputs create the tight market split, with the 43% probability on 15°C or below reflecting downside rain-cooling risks and the 39% on 25°C or higher capturing any drier-model scenarios. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and next model runs will likely resolve the narrow band around 20–21°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$95Дата окончания
22 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Chengdu show overnight lows near 20–21°C on September 22 amid expected showers and persistent cloud cover, narrowing the diurnal temperature range through reduced radiational cooling. Sichuan basin humidity and light winds further stabilize temperatures, limiting drops below 18°C while keeping highs near 26°C. Divergent ensemble outputs create the tight market split, with the 43% probability on 15°C or below reflecting downside rain-cooling risks and the 39% on 25°C or higher capturing any drier-model scenarios. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and next model runs will likely resolve the narrow band around 20–21°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$95Дата окончания
22 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models for Chengdu show overnight lows near 20–21°C on September 22 amid expected showers and persistent cloud cover, narrowing the diurnal temperature range through reduced radiational cooling. Sichuan basin humidity and light winds further stabilize temperatures, limiting drops below 18°C while keeping highs near 26°C. Divergent ensemble outputs create the tight market split, with the 43% probability on 15°C or below reflecting downside rain-cooling risks and the 39% on 25°C or higher capturing any drier-model scenarios. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and next model runs will likely resolve the narrow band around 20–21°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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