**Forecast models from sources like the Met Office, ECMWF, and GFS indicate a most likely overnight low of 28–30°C for Jeddah on September 22, driven by typical Red Sea coastal conditions: clear skies, light winds, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling.** Recent observations through September 19–20 show consistent minima of 29–31°C with no synoptic shifts, such as stronger sea breezes or upper-level troughs, expected in the next 48 hours. The near-even market odds on the ≤25°C (50%) and ≥35°C (49%) buckets reflect trader hedging around forecast uncertainty ranges and resolution criteria rather than a high probability of extremes, which most ensembles place well below 10%. Minor model spread in dew point and boundary-layer mixing could nudge the exact minimum within the 27–31°C band, with final data from official stations determining resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Джидде 22 сентября?
25°C или ниже 100%
35°C или выше 98%
31°C 50%
30°C 40%
25°C или ниже
100%
26°C
38%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
40%
31°C
27%
32°C
39%
33°C
39%
34°C
39%
35°C или выше
98%
25°C или ниже 100%
35°C или выше 98%
31°C 50%
30°C 40%
25°C или ниже
100%
26°C
38%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
40%
31°C
27%
32°C
39%
33°C
39%
34°C
39%
35°C или выше
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like the Met Office, ECMWF, and GFS indicate a most likely overnight low of 28–30°C for Jeddah on September 22, driven by typical Red Sea coastal conditions: clear skies, light winds, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling.** Recent observations through September 19–20 show consistent minima of 29–31°C with no synoptic shifts, such as stronger sea breezes or upper-level troughs, expected in the next 48 hours. The near-even market odds on the ≤25°C (50%) and ≥35°C (49%) buckets reflect trader hedging around forecast uncertainty ranges and resolution criteria rather than a high probability of extremes, which most ensembles place well below 10%. Minor model spread in dew point and boundary-layer mixing could nudge the exact minimum within the 27–31°C band, with final data from official stations determining resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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