**Short-term forecast models indicate a likely overnight minimum near 20–22°C for Milan on September 1, with trader-implied odds remaining closely balanced between sub-15°C and 25°C+ extremes due to residual uncertainty in the precise low.** Persistent high pressure and warm advection from the south have maintained elevated temperatures through late August, suppressing typical early-September cooling. Radiative cooling under mostly clear skies could allow the minimum to dip toward the upper teens if winds remain light, while any increase in cloud cover or a slight shift in steering flow would keep readings closer to 22°C. Official guidance from European models shows limited spread, yet small changes in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any weak frontal passage can shift the recorded daily low by several degrees. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS ahead of the date will likely tighten the distribution around the current consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Милане 1 сентября?
15°C or below 95%
25°C or higher 60%
20°C 49%
16°C 48%
15°C or below
95%
16°C
48%
17°C
48%
18°C
25%
19°C
27%
20°C
49%
21°C
48%
22°C
47%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C or higher
60%
15°C or below 95%
25°C or higher 60%
20°C 49%
16°C 48%
15°C or below
95%
16°C
48%
17°C
48%
18°C
25%
19°C
27%
20°C
49%
21°C
48%
22°C
47%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C or higher
60%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Short-term forecast models indicate a likely overnight minimum near 20–22°C for Milan on September 1, with trader-implied odds remaining closely balanced between sub-15°C and 25°C+ extremes due to residual uncertainty in the precise low.** Persistent high pressure and warm advection from the south have maintained elevated temperatures through late August, suppressing typical early-September cooling. Radiative cooling under mostly clear skies could allow the minimum to dip toward the upper teens if winds remain light, while any increase in cloud cover or a slight shift in steering flow would keep readings closer to 22°C. Official guidance from European models shows limited spread, yet small changes in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any weak frontal passage can shift the recorded daily low by several degrees. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS ahead of the date will likely tighten the distribution around the current consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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