**Current forecasts from models like GFS indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on September 25 will likely fall in the 8–11°C range, driven by southerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and limited radiational cooling overnight.** These conditions follow a period of above-average warmth for late September, with daytime highs projected near 15–17°C under partly cloudy skies and light precipitation chances. Historical climatology places the average low around 6°C, but recent atmospheric patterns have favored milder air advection from the south, reducing the risk of sharper drops. Model consensus shows modest spread in exact overnight minima, contributing to trader weighting toward the 14°C-or-higher outcome at 49% implied probability while assigning meaningful odds to single-digit values. Updated runs from agencies such as NOAA and regional meteorological services over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer details ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Москве 25 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Москве 25 сентября?
14°C или выше 98%
4°C или ниже 50%
5°C 40%
6°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 сент. 2026 г.
4°C или ниже
50%
5°C
40%
6°C
40%
7°C
40%
8°C
40%
9°C
40%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C или выше
98%
14°C или выше 98%
4°C или ниже 50%
5°C 40%
6°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 сент. 2026 г.
4°C или ниже
$0 Объем
50%
5°C
$0 Объем
40%
6°C
$0 Объем
40%
7°C
$0 Объем
40%
8°C
$0 Объем
40%
9°C
$0 Объем
40%
10°C
$0 Объем
40%
11°C
$0 Объем
40%
12°C
$0 Объем
40%
13°C
$0 Объем
40%
14°C или выше
$0 Объем
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from models like GFS indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on September 25 will likely fall in the 8–11°C range, driven by southerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and limited radiational cooling overnight.**
These conditions follow a period of above-average warmth for late September, with daytime highs projected near 15–17°C under partly cloudy skies and light precipitation chances. Historical climatology places the average low around 6°C, but recent atmospheric patterns have favored milder air advection from the south, reducing the risk of sharper drops. Model consensus shows modest spread in exact overnight minima, contributing to trader weighting toward the 14°C-or-higher outcome at 49% implied probability while assigning meaningful odds to single-digit values. Updated runs from agencies such as NOAA and regional meteorological services over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
25 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from models like GFS indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on September 25 will likely fall in the 8–11°C range, driven by southerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and limited radiational cooling overnight.**
These conditions follow a period of above-average warmth for late September, with daytime highs projected near 15–17°C under partly cloudy skies and light precipitation chances. Historical climatology places the average low around 6°C, but recent atmospheric patterns have favored milder air advection from the south, reducing the risk of sharper drops. Model consensus shows modest spread in exact overnight minima, contributing to trader weighting toward the 14°C-or-higher outcome at 49% implied probability while assigning meaningful odds to single-digit values. Updated runs from agencies such as NOAA and regional meteorological services over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
25 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from models like GFS indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on September 25 will likely fall in the 8–11°C range, driven by southerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and limited radiational cooling overnight.** These conditions follow a period of above-average warmth for late September, with daytime highs projected near 15–17°C under partly cloudy skies and light precipitation chances. Historical climatology places the average low around 6°C, but recent atmospheric patterns have favored milder air advection from the south, reducing the risk of sharper drops. Model consensus shows modest spread in exact overnight minima, contributing to trader weighting toward the 14°C-or-higher outcome at 49% implied probability while assigning meaningful odds to single-digit values. Updated runs from agencies such as NOAA and regional meteorological services over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer details ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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