Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and DWD points to overnight radiative cooling under partly to mostly clear skies and light winds after Wednesday's frontal rain, driving minimum temperatures in Munich toward 9–10°C on September 10—near or slightly below the 1991–2020 average low of 10.8°C. This setup favors the market's leading 6°C-or-below and 7°C buckets by allowing greater heat loss than under persistent cloud cover, though ensemble spreads and minor timing differences in clearing introduce realistic upside to 8–9°C. Historical September minima rarely dip below 5°C without stronger high-pressure building, keeping lower-probability outcomes below 10% unless revised guidance shows further drying.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Мюнхене 10 сентября?
6°C или ниже 44%
7°C 26%
8°C 15%
11°C 14%
6°C или ниже
44%
7°C
26%
8°C
15%
9°C
13%
10°C
9%
11°C
14%
12°C
13%
13°C
13%
14°C
13%
15°C
13%
16°C или выше
11%
6°C или ниже 44%
7°C 26%
8°C 15%
11°C 14%
6°C или ниже
44%
7°C
26%
8°C
15%
9°C
13%
10°C
9%
11°C
14%
12°C
13%
13°C
13%
14°C
13%
15°C
13%
16°C или выше
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and DWD points to overnight radiative cooling under partly to mostly clear skies and light winds after Wednesday's frontal rain, driving minimum temperatures in Munich toward 9–10°C on September 10—near or slightly below the 1991–2020 average low of 10.8°C. This setup favors the market's leading 6°C-or-below and 7°C buckets by allowing greater heat loss than under persistent cloud cover, though ensemble spreads and minor timing differences in clearing introduce realistic upside to 8–9°C. Historical September minima rarely dip below 5°C without stronger high-pressure building, keeping lower-probability outcomes below 10% unless revised guidance shows further drying.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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