Latest ensemble forecasts from the National Weather Service and global models indicate modest overnight cooling under a warm, humid air mass, with Central Park and LaGuardia lows most likely settling between 70–75°F. High dew points near 65–70°F limit radiative cooling, while light winds and variable cloud cover create the narrow spread reflected in trader positioning. Historical mid-August analogs rarely dip below 68°F amid urban heat retention, and no strong frontal passage is expected before dawn on the 14th. Minor model disagreements center on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeping the 72–73°F and 74–75°F bins nearly tied as the highest-probability outcomes. Updated short-range guidance overnight could refine these ranges before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 14 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 14 августа?
72-73°F 37%
74-75°F 34%
70-71°F 17%
76-77°F 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 авг. 2026 г.
63°F или ниже
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
37%
74-75°F
34%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
1%
82°F или выше
1%
72-73°F 37%
74-75°F 34%
70-71°F 17%
76-77°F 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 авг. 2026 г.
63°F или ниже
$12 Объем
<1%
64-65°F
$20 Объем
1%
66-67°F
$13 Объем
3%
68-69°F
$0 Объем
6%
70-71°F
$118 Объем
17%
72-73°F
$44 Объем
37%
74-75°F
$114 Объем
34%
76-77°F
$0 Объем
11%
78-79°F
$32 Объем
5%
80-81°F
$117 Объем
1%
82°F или выше
$12 Объем
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the National Weather Service and global models indicate modest overnight cooling under a warm, humid air mass, with Central Park and LaGuardia lows most likely settling between 70–75°F. High dew points near 65–70°F limit radiative cooling, while light winds and variable cloud cover create the narrow spread reflected in trader positioning. Historical mid-August analogs rarely dip below 68°F amid urban heat retention, and no strong frontal passage is expected before dawn on the 14th. Minor model disagreements center on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeping the 72–73°F and 74–75°F bins nearly tied as the highest-probability outcomes. Updated short-range guidance overnight could refine these ranges before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 12, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Объем
$482Дата окончания
14 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 9:28 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the National Weather Service and global models indicate modest overnight cooling under a warm, humid air mass, with Central Park and LaGuardia lows most likely settling between 70–75°F. High dew points near 65–70°F limit radiative cooling, while light winds and variable cloud cover create the narrow spread reflected in trader positioning. Historical mid-August analogs rarely dip below 68°F amid urban heat retention, and no strong frontal passage is expected before dawn on the 14th. Minor model disagreements center on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeping the 72–73°F and 74–75°F bins nearly tied as the highest-probability outcomes. Updated short-range guidance overnight could refine these ranges before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$482Дата окончания
14 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 9:28 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the National Weather Service and global models indicate modest overnight cooling under a warm, humid air mass, with Central Park and LaGuardia lows most likely settling between 70–75°F. High dew points near 65–70°F limit radiative cooling, while light winds and variable cloud cover create the narrow spread reflected in trader positioning. Historical mid-August analogs rarely dip below 68°F amid urban heat retention, and no strong frontal passage is expected before dawn on the 14th. Minor model disagreements center on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeping the 72–73°F and 74–75°F bins nearly tied as the highest-probability outcomes. Updated short-range guidance overnight could refine these ranges before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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